HEy guys,
I recently had 2 of these exact same spots, where I strongly suggested Villain to be on a reasonable good made hand like QQ+ because he was willing to call my 3bet out of position and double barrel a low to mid, kind of dry board with only few draws. In both spots I decided to raise turn and stack off with the nutflushdraw and 1 or 2 potential overcards: because a possible flush river could stop action, and first I thought, it is as well to balance my valueraise turn range. But the longer I thought about it, I thought, hmm at the turn I will never be in front of Villain here if he calls - which would be no surprise after betting 2 times in a 3bet pot, and thus a play after odds and outs might result in higher EV. Can you argue for one or the other line? That would make me happy 
For me it is like this: little to no Foldequity here, and in the potequity I am behind. So long term I loose more money raising the nutflushdraw here instead of calling, right?
For the record: I can not deliver stats for Villain here, I had a history of 5 hands only.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (5 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com
Button ($6.89)
SB ($5.09)
BB ($3.97)
UTG ($5.03)
Hero (MP) ($5.12)
Preflop: Hero is MP with J
, A
UTG raises to $0.15, Hero raises to $0.45, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.30
Flop: ($0.97) 10
, 3, 10 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($1.97) 5
(2 players)
UTG bets $1.05, Hero raises to $3.35, UTG raises to $4.08 (All-In), Hero calls $0.73
River: ($10.13) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $10.13 | Rake: $0.42
Results:
Spoiler
UTG had K, K
(two pair, Kings and tens).
Hero had J, A (two pair, tens and fives).
Outcome: UTG won $9.71
