Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (SB): $26.36 (105.4 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb)
UTG: $24.64 (98.6 bb)
MP: $21.36 (85.4 bb)
CO: $26.01 (104 bb)
BTN: $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K♠: Q♥:
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, BB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.00
Flop: ($3) Q♦: 5♠: 4♦: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks
Turn: ($3) 6♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.75, BB raises to $4.25, Hero calls $2.50
River: ($11.50) 2♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $8.25, Hero calls $8.25
Results:
Spoiler
$28 pot ($1.26 rake)
Final Board: Q♦: 5♠: 4♦: 6♣: 2♠:
Hero showed K♠: Q♥: and won $26.74 ($12.74 net)
BB showed A♠: J♠: and lost (-$14 net)
Preflop KQo is in my defending range vs BB 3bet.
Postflop. After Villain checks back OTF, I discount AA, KK, QQ, AQ, KQ, diamond draws, 76s, 54s.
I'm betting turn for value against hands like Overcards, JJ, TT. Villain's raise OTT doesn't make much sense to me, because his 3bet range mostly consists of big suited cards, Offsuit broadways like AK, KJ and very few 7x and 3x combos (if any). I also don't expect to see 87s in 3bet range too often as it is pretty good to flat with.
OTR I need 29% equity. Against a value range (22 combos) like this (below) I need to find 9 bluff combos to have a breakeven call. If Villain bluffs with all AJo (f.e.), then I have 35% equity, f.e.
Board: Q♦4♦5♠ 6♣ 2♠
Equity Win Tie
MP2 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% { A3s, 93s, 83s, 73s, 63s, 53s }
BB 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% { KsQh }
I assumed that Villain would play all of his 3x this way, which is the worst case for me. If he calls some 3x OTT, then I'm even better.
After 5 min of writing I realized that I did not discounted 3x with a FD, so now his value range is only 16 combos and I only need to find around 6 bluffs. That makes a call even better.
In game: I thought of him having very few 3x, gave him some busted 7x and since line doesn't make sense for his 3bet range too much I also gave him some overcard bluffs.
