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Value bet the river w TPTK? vol. 2

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vaca22
Joined: 24.11.2008

IPoker, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
BB: $30.52 (122.1 bb)
MP: $45.02 (180.1 bb)
CO: $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $69.17 (276.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♠: A♣:
2 folds, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

Flop: ($4.50) 7♣: J♦: K♥: (3 players)
Hero bets $2.71, BB calls $2.71, BTN calls $2.71

Turn: ($12.63) 3♠: (3 players)
Hero bets $4.75, BB folds, BTN calls $4.75

River: ($22.13) 6♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Results: $22.13 pot ($1.10 rake)
Final Board: 7♣: J♦: K♥: 3♠: 6♠:
Hero mucked K♠: A♣: and won $21.03 ($12.07 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$8.96 net)

BTN is 30/10 after 20 hands, seemed passive. No more reads on him.
BB is also passive fish 45/13

I think I could go with a bigger sizing on the turn. At least half pot. They are both fishes and they will call any Jx, any Kx, any broadway.

As played should I bet the river? What sizing to use? I have less than 1 SPR.

If I bet larger on the turn should I jam the river? That would leave with me with SPR lower than 0.5 on the river. I guess I cant really bet any lower than that.


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3 replies
generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

I think you can go a little higher on the turn but not too much. This is very dry for a turn. There are all four colors and the only OESD is QT. You're trying to get pairs to call and most of those are not a K because you have one yourself. So you really don't want to fold out all the Jx they have and be left stuck against 2 pair or better. Because they are fish I'd still try this if it sets up for a reasonable river all in. If you can not (I'm too lazy to calculate stack sizes) then keeping the turn at the size it is and betting light on the river seems like the best option. I don't think I like checking behind here against loose-passive players.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

A half pot bet on turn seems big enough and go for a thin value bet on the river as well.
He could call with any Kx hand that you beat.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Hackett77
Joined: 02.02.2009

Definitely value bet versus recreational players.


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