[PLO25] A765s river vs LAG

hand is custom edited and from GGPoker

Urgh finally some nice-to-read handhistory! ♠_thumbsup:

I would raise it pot on the turn and committ against a raise. He is likely to double-barrel loose and we have a good semi-bluffing opportunity here.
The flop could be a raise 2/3 pot as we have the top-set blocker on this very light flop together with a nut-bdfd and our oesd but if he is very aggressive and capable of 3-betting light calling might be better.

As played I would call the river. His pot-sized bet is very polaized and is not likely to fit the range he is repping. It also does not hit the parts of his turn semi-bluffing range like :9x::8x:xx, :5x::3x:xx and we block the :6x::3x:xx and :Ax::3x:xx straights. We need to win 33%, this should be possible.

ok at first i response to your thoughts, pokerjuice analysis afterwards:

raise flop is an idea but dont you think we dont have anough 77xx hands in our MP openrange? turn semibluff is a nice idea I did not thought about so far. surprises will come for flop and turn later on btw. on river I was like the same besides I would really love to hold a 3 blocker instead of an ace blocker but yes he was really polarized so I called. Results later, here comes the interesting part:

I tried to figure out ranges in pokerjuice and results are really interesting. I gave BB the following ranges

Flop: any top pair or better +gs, any wrap, any low 2pair or better
Turn: any 7 or better +gs or hearts, any wrap, any bottom 2pair or better

we have 53% equity on flop and turn against these ranges. so I think a raise turn is mandatory. as played unfortunately we both like to call but it doesnt seem to be +EV:

https://ibb.co/txBFvfP

maybe I have to adjust some ranges here not 100% sure if I estimate his ranges right here. suggest adjustments and i will recalc. btw @Mascherano95 show up in skype

Results

but dont you think we dont have anough 77xx hands in our MP openrange?

ä

I think I have some :7x::7x:xx. It would be worse on a :6x:xx flop, this is because my own range is quite :7x::7x:xx -heavy compared to lower pairs for the reason, that :7x::7x:xx is the lowest pair u can hit top-set without a wheel-straight bein possible. The other question is, if he is good enough to hand-read pre-flop/flop. if he is a level 1 thinker who is thinking about our range, your argument is indeed valid.

The flop raise is surely not mandatory, just a possibility if u think the situation is right to do so.
The turn raise is much more sth, you should perform because u have really good components working together and probably not much showdownvalue for rivers.

I would really love to hold a 3 blocker

haha I know that feelin, sometimes u dont have the blockers u need. In such a situation it makes sense to recapitulate the whole hand history, reevaluate the table dynamic and if he would be capable of bluffin another barrel and if he would do it with this specific sizing. It helps to stay cool and be aware that any outcome is fine because the single event is not meaningful and if you call and he has it fine, if you fold and get no information that's fine too. But yes a blocker would be better than our blocker.

I gave BB the following ranges

Imo u forgot the overpairs, they should be in his flop range. (discount if he barrels more polarized).

Maybe he would not pot the mediocre hands, this is player dependant. some players start to give tells and manipulate their sizings revealing their hand-type by betting mediocre stuff smaller to get a better prize. If you have this read you can also adapt as his pot-sized turn-bet would be more imbalanced towards strong value hands but with the hand you had I would raise anyways.

I will be back at skype asap.

there are a couple of overpairs in the 7+:A3+ range.

oh ye pokerjuice syntax is more compact. i was thinking in terms of ppt syntax

Originally posted by efkay
there are a couple of overpairs in the 7+:A3+ range.

How does that pokerjuice syntax work. Does it in include eg. JJT8 in this case?

no because JJT8 is not a hand better than a pair of sevens with a gutshot on flop