I liked reading your post, because what you describe is how I felt when I first started trading! With the demo accounts and all that stuff 
I got one little question, which broker do you use for trading?
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Originally posted by Tim128
I liked reading your post, because what you describe is how I felt when I first started trading! With the demo accounts and all that stuff
I got one little question, which broker do you use for trading?
Cool, I was not sure if anybody is interested in this, cause this is poker forum
I use tms europe broker.
Do you still trade in forex?
Btw yesterday one more profitable trade in demo account
By the trend I estimated it would win at best at april 11, but was nice to see how price moves and I win in 4 hours
Btw I am even afraid to try new strategies when this works ♦
Ok if that strategy is not telling the complete oposite, but just increasing the estimate accuracy, then I could try it.
Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
Originally posted by Tim128
I liked reading your post, because what you describe is how I felt when I first started trading! With the demo accounts and all that stuff
I got one little question, which broker do you use for trading?Cool, I was not sure if anybody is interested in this, cause this is poker forum
I use tms europe broker.
Do you still trade in forex?
Btw yesterday one more profitable trade in demo account
By the trend I estimated it would win at best at april 11, but was nice to see how price moves and I win in 4 hours
Btw I am even afraid to try new strategies when this works ♦
Ok if that strategy is not telling the complete oposite, but just increasing the estimate accuracy, then I could try it.
No I mostly try to find stocks that are punished too hard for (possibly fake) news.
When you have a winning strategy, I'd say keep testing it and when you're sure start using it!
No I mostly try to find stocks that are punished too hard for (possibly fake) news.
but you do as short term speculation?
How is it going? What sample you have?
One disapointing thing is that there are lot scammer brokers. Like here it is very well described:
https://www.luckscout.com/6-ways-forex-brokers-cheat-you/
Also he writes that market maker type brokers win when you loose, and loose when you win. So need to be very careful with such.
But there are good market maker brokers too as he say, mostly investors loose not because broker is cheating, but by their own mistakes.
And there are some true and some fake ECN brokers who earn from commissions and they do not care if you win or lose. Actually it is better for them that you win, so you stay and pay more commision. So this is good thing. The difference from market makers is that they enter your money to the real market, while market maker as I understand works like sport bet company, only that they cannot create the events, the events are the graph, but some of them cheat the graph by small deviations, so probably the fish does not even notice.
I with that cheating would illegal the way that would cause broker to bankrupt, but but probably they get away, because those who are pure gamblers do not care and those who are winners, just find a good broker.
Btw I like the luckscout website, read like 6 articles already and they are explaining things very well, will continue to read it.
Only it is weird their millionaire club, which from advertising looks too good to be true and with that kind of advertising it also looks scammy but yea, it is interesting that those free articles really does not look like scam, but makes sence a lot so far.
Maybe somebody is interested that I post some grapsh from forex since I am currently hooked on it
There are 2 bets on demo account. One of them is longer, another is for shorter period. I drawed red horisontal line of stop loss, and green horisontal for TP for the bet made yesterday. Grey is current price. If it will win, then I will make about 4.9 $, of not - will loose same.
Today when I was back frrom work, the result was negative like 2 $ from that position, and looked like trend started to go up. But might be that it was just temporary. Trend is going down since march 27 with ocational up which make people think that trend is turning around.
So we will see how this time I was doing - right or wrong. Might be that will now tomorrow
probably I should create a forex blog on forex forum, but not sure which one yet. On one big forum I cannot create threads yet because I recently registered, maybe need to get some posts count or smth.
ok, lost, not only that shorter position, but also longer, so total about 9 $ loss
this was really unexpected such high up. Maybe the trend turned around and should now buy eurs. Weird. Fundamentally no idea why this happened, maybe will read some news what causes this.
Hi SPeedFANat1c,
Looks nice the trading. I had a lot of finance during my Bachelors so most of it looks very familiar 
Is finance also your background? Are you working for a financial institution? Or you are just investing for fun? Do you know about hedging as well? You can make an awful lot of money there 
Cheers,
Hesticus
Originally posted by Hesticus
Hi SPeedFANat1c,Looks nice the trading. I had a lot of finance during my Bachelors so most of it looks very familiar
Cheers,Hesticus
hi,
no finance is not my study background. I have studied programming in univercity and my companies business probably cannot be called finance. Actually would be interesting to work as programmer in some finance institution as programmer. But at the same time I am not sure if that would cause lot of stress, because of mistakes could cost lot of money.
On the other hand anywhere in business money is involved and mistakes can cost lot of money. And if I would work in finance institution, probably my code would be reviewed and tested by other people, and would not leave me alone with very important tasks.
I am investing for fun and with hope to win at it so my money would be my workers who make me more money instead of lazy bastards loosing value due to inflation
I recently read a bit about hedging, as I understood - that means something like when 1 customer bets on one event, another customer bets on oposite events - that way money is hedged. If broker is market maker, even if client wins, he has to pay to him, but then another client looses on same event. So like zero sum game, but because of spread (like rake in poker) market maker makes money.
Probably if there is not enough loosing bets, and market maker see that client is long term winner, he could him self copy the bet and place it in real market.
But you could correct me if I am not understanding it very well
Btw this sudden up was caused by Trump telling that dollar is too strong ♦ after this up, it again started to go down at same pace. And I even managed to make a correct bet to earn 1 $, but then tried again to bet on continuing trend down and lost same dollar and some cents.
Too bad forex does not work on weekends 
but will try to read more about it. Still I am not crushed terribly, so will continue to test how I do.
Sorry since this post of mine will be quite outdated, but what was the article OP was referencing to in the 1st post of this blog? Thanks and GL with anything !
Sorry since this post of mine will be quite outdated, but what was the article OP was referencing to in the 1st post of this blog? Thanks and GL with anything !
you mean this:
But read some artictle which made me think - I do not need to make this main income. I can do it for fun.
?
Do not know exact, but I guess it migth be some article from motivation or psychology categories in this portal.
Happy Easter
Hi SPeedFANat1c,
Just checking in to see how things are going, with poker, investing etc. ...
All the best,
VS
Originally posted by VorpalF2F
Hi SPeedFANat1c,
Just checking in to see how things are going, with poker, investing etc. ...All the best,
Hi, just now saw your message since was not playing poker, was not getting much here.
So I missed poker MTTs I somehow dont miss cash because it feels like too hard work to make serious money and luck also does not help. I think in MTTs at least like in lottery sometimes luck could help and still better than lottery because I can still outplay some fish hopefully. So played this weekend few mtts and last weeked or 2 again one MTT on each. No winnings. Last MTT almost in the money, but had no luch when left 1 bb and I callled CO open with K9o . Not sure if that was right move, but though at least there is a chance that K high can win or hit some pair.
PokerStars - 300/600 Ante 50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP+1: 31.69 BB
MP+2: 8.98 BB
CO: 14.81 BB
Hero (BTN): 1.09 BB
SB: 18.12 BB
BB: 1.89 BB
UTG: 5.2 BB
UTG+1: 5.38 BB
MP: 15.7 BB
9 players post ante of 0.08 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has K♦ 9♠
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 4.25 BB, Hero calls 1.01 BB and is all-in, fold, BB calls 0.81 BB and is all-in
Flop: (5.87 BB, 3 players) 7♣ 5♣ A♦
Turn: (5.87 BB, 3 players) T♦
River: (5.87 BB, 3 players) Q♣
BB shows 4♠ Q♠ (One Pair, Queens)
Main Pot [4.27 BB]: (Pre 28%, Flop 5%, Turn 0%)
Side Pot#1 [1.6 BB]: (Pre 38%, Flop 7%, Turn 0%)
CO shows J♦ A♠ (One Pair, Aces)
Main Pot [4.27 BB]: (Pre 42%, Flop 91%, Turn 100%)
Side Pot#1 [1.6 BB]: (Pre 62%, Flop 93%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows K♦ 9♠ (High Card, Ace)
Main Pot [4.27 BB]: (Pre 30%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
CO wins 5.87 BB
Investing so far going good, bought a flat and renting it almost year already. And looks like prices are rising. Just I hate that Belarus built nuclear power plant mayeb 30 km from my city Vilnius, so if it explodes, this city probably could become unlivable place and investments would be worthless. But people are buying real estate a lot here. Even before I did not like too much that there is agressive Russia near us which could again make shit happen, but now power plant added. We had also a power plant in here but european union forced us to close for safety. So now kind of pointless close when belarusians saw less concurents and decided to build
I am not even sure should I continue investing in to flats here once I save more money or do it in another city like 100 km more far away. Or if I will have family, I will need bigger flat for myself and not sure now if this is a good place to buy it.
Also made sp500 index long on like 2019 september which is doing really great now. At the beggining it was strugling. Why I made long is because they reduced interest rates, whole world does quantitive easing. Plus long term trend is up. Just amount is small - bought for 300 usd. So no huge winnings.
And until position is not closed, it is not winning at all, there can be a crash and go into negative even.
Also playing with smaller timeframes but not beating it. Hopefully yet really having a hope that I could beat them. Lot of time passed, few years and not having beat. My cousin even said if you dont make it in one year, do sometihng else. But I dont believe that in this business 1 year the line where you have to stop. Not many people beat it in one year. I am mostly playing on demo still. Having now on trading view 1000 usd demo account and running around breakeven. Go down to 950 then back to 1000, at the beggining was bit over 1000. Recently again was close to 1000 and made few big losses and again I am at 966. But there is a hope.
Also have few hundred in P2P lending. NOthing serious. Profit is good in percentage, but small in $. And I am afraid to put there big amoutns because I cannot see who I am lending to. Maybe those people are fictional , or maybe their ratings are better than they really are. Central bank regulates it but can I trust? Central bank also regulated other banks which bankrupted.
I am not sure how should I do with poker now. I do not want to invest much time into learning it but want to play MTTs for fun. Also dont want to just donate money. Or maybe donating is noble thing ? I really would like to play like sume huge tournament where its possilbe to win few hundred thousand. Just for fun. Maybe do that once a year, as like birdtday, or chirstmass gift ? damn still kind of expensive to gamble 200 euros away and have nothing. On the other hand these days to make 200 eur it takes like few days, not like 5 years ago. Or I should play some low bin tournaments, beat them, save for the big tournament buy and play big tournament. Or use satelites. Would need much more luck to win satelits and win big MTT but at least I have a chance. Plus playing sattelite I would also have fun if I would not be crushed. Also was thinking maybe it is still easy to beat NL2 cash and save some money for tournaments? Like maybe they spew stacks there ♦ or even NL4.
Hello there,
Came to wish you good luck and ask you a question.
What is your opinion regarding the apparent consensus in the scientific world about TA being a pseudoscience?
Originally posted by VorpalF2F
Nice graph!
I hope it continues like that for a long time!
Not anymore ♦ lost few bucks during this corona virus crash ♦ I could have moved my SL bit above but on the other hand wanted to wait.
Then later entered one position and again lost 8 usd. Now having long again, was in slight plus but on friday suddenly moved down, and currently am down 5 usd. Maybe still too early bought or too late, depending on how we look.
On one hand - they reduced interest rates, printing ton of money. On the other hand virus is still sprading in usa.
What is your opinion regarding the apparent consensus in the scientific world about TA being a pseudoscience?
I think it is same as statistics, probabilities which are not pseudosccience. Tom Dante explains it very well from the math/statistical perspective.
I can give you question. Here is sp500 index. Why this month price bounced back to the thendline? Is this real concidence? I am not saying there are no randomness. There is lot of it. But some things really look like not coincidence.
THere is same sp500 zoomed to weekly. This week formed rejection candle from trendline which is why I dont like my long anymore actually but cannot even get out because market is closed. But it will not go down 100% next week also, there is a chance for it going up.
Also few weeks earlier it broke a trendline and then came back to test it and rejected. While trendline is support - there is pressure up. But when buyers give up, then sellers take control and pressure down.
I am not profitable with this but this is how I see things.
Fun friday evening would have been nice to win much more , but still good almost 10x buyin - 0.55 cents MTT
Tons of fish. And lot of luck, like cracking AA with JJ.
44.31 bankroll now. I have left in pokerstars about 50 dollars bankroll for fun play once I stopped playing NL. Bit now underroller really for his MTT, but hopefully thats ok with so soft field. 7th place and bigger would boost a lot, but need more much luck for that.
Also turbo took 3.5 hour and its not the end. So if it would be normal speed, it would taklike 9 hours to reach same place? That would really tire me, especially if at night and for such small amount. At evenings I should not even start normal table such big MTTs I guess
Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
Tons of fish. And lot of luck, like cracking AA with JJ.
If at first you don't succeed -- suck out!
Nice result!
Cheers,
VS
Originally posted by VorpalF2F
Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
Tons of fish. And lot of luck, like cracking AA with JJ.If at first you don't succeed -- suck out!
Nice result!
Cheers,
kind of even feeling like sorry to a guy when suckout, when he was happy pushing AA. BUt lots of times they suckout to me too in other tournaments.
PokerStars - 1250/2500 Ante 315 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP+1: 34.74 BB
MP+2: 31.98 BB
CO: 22.61 BB
BTN: 13.57 BB
Hero (SB): 4.12 BB
BB: 18.84 BB
UTG: 23.42 BB
UTG+1: 4.22 BB
MP: 14.55 BB
9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.63 BB) Hero has T♦ T♥
fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 13.45 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 3.49 BB and is all-in, fold, fold
Flop: (12.11 BB, 2 players) 8♣ 2♠ T♠
Turn: (12.11 BB, 2 players) Q♥
River: (12.11 BB, 2 players) 6♦
Hero shows T♦ T♥ (Three of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 20%, Flop 88%, Turn 95%)
BTN shows K♠ K♣ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 80%, Flop 12%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 12.11 BB
PokerStars - 2000/4000 Ante 500 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 20.17 BB
BTN: 14.48 BB
SB: 21.06 BB
BB: 18.51 BB
Hero (UTG): 21.33 BB
UTG+1: 8.73 BB
MP: 2.69 BB
MP+1: 17.21 BB
8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has J♥ J♣
Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 21.21 BB and is all-in, MP+1 calls 12.09 BB and is all-in
Flop: (36.68 BB, 2 players) J♦ 4♦ 2♥
Turn: (36.68 BB, 2 players) T♥
River: (36.68 BB, 2 players) 3♠
Hero shows J♥ J♣ (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 19%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)
MP+1 shows A♠ A♥ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 81%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 36.68 BB
PokerStars - 25/50 Ante 6 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 84.84 BB
SB: 148.52 BB
BB: 105 BB
UTG: 90.98 BB
UTG+1: 174.8 BB
MP: 98.02 BB
MP+1: 96.7 BB
MP+2: 100 BB
Hero (CO): 100.4 BB
9 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.58 BB) Hero has 3♣ 3♥
fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, fold, fold, MP+2 raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB, UTG+1 calls 2 BB
Flop: (16.58 BB, 5 players) 3♠ 2♠ 8♠
BB checks, UTG+1 bets 8.3 BB, MP+2 calls 8.3 BB, Hero raises to 32.5 BB, fold, fold, UTG+1 raises to 171.68 BB and is all-in, fold, Hero calls 64.78 BB and is all-in
Turn: (219.44 BB, 2 players) 2♦
River: (219.44 BB, 2 players) 9♣
UTG+1 shows 5♠ Q♠ (Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 49%, Flop 66%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows 3♣ 3♥ (Full House, Threes full of Twos)
(Pre 51%, Flop 34%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins 219.44 BB
PokerStars - 250/500 Ante 65 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG+1: 17.93 BB
MP: 24.25 BB
MP+1: 9.16 BB
MP+2: 22.8 BB
Hero (CO): 28.79 BB
BTN: 15.81 BB
SB: 7.55 BB
BB: 19 BB
UTG: 30.96 BB
9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.67 BB) Hero has Q♦ A♠
fold, fold, MP raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 28.66 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, MP calls 22.12 BB and is all-in
Flop: (50.92 BB, 2 players) J♦ 5♣ 4♦
Turn: (50.92 BB, 2 players) 6♦
River: (50.92 BB, 2 players) 4♥
MP shows 9♦ T♥ (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 37%, Flop 24%, Turn 11%)
Hero shows Q♦ A♠ (One Pair, Fours)
(Pre 63%, Flop 76%, Turn 89%)
Hero wins 50.92 BB
Really love that call with 9To
If they call it "suck out" when you win with long odds, why don't they call it "suck in" when your hand holds?
English is weird
Originally posted by VorpalF2F
If they call it "suck out" when you win with long odds, why don't they call it "suck in" when your hand holds?English is weird
no idea