Hello all,
I am afraid but I was completely lost in this pot. Important to mention is, that CO hat pretty nitty tendencies, around 10/8 if I remember correctly (around 100 hands).
I think preflop and flop are fine, however I did not like the turn card at all.
I bet for value against weaker hands and for protection, however I think my bet is too small and should be more around 18bb.
I get minraised by the nit and know that I could be behind against gutshow, however I do not see a lot AQ calling the flop mwp, expect in spades. After call of BTN I get great odds to call. I might still have the best hand (?) and have 4 outs for the nuts.
On the River all flush draws bust, Q with OESD busts and I decide to check/call for possible bluff induce. After the call of the button I pretty much know I am beat but get incredible odds for a call.
I think there are several ways to play the hand better. What do play the situation?
PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 417.2 BB
SB: 218.8 BB
BB: 106.2 BB
UTG: 113 BB
Hero (MP): 100 BB
CO: 71 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♣ J♦
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (10.4 BB, 3 players) K♥ 3♠ J♠
Hero bets 5.6 BB, CO calls 5.6 BB, BTN calls 5.6 BB
Turn: (27.2 BB, 3 players) T♣
Hero bets 13 BB, CO raises to 28 BB, BTN calls 28 BB, Hero calls 15 BB
River: (111.2 BB, 3 players) 5♣
Hero checks, CO bets 34.4 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 34.4 BB, Hero calls 34.4 BB
Spoiler
CO shows Q♥ A♥ (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 62%, Flop 20%, Turn 89%)
BTN mucks Q♠ J♣ (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 9%, Flop 5%, Turn 4%)
Hero mucks K♣ J♦ (Two Pair, Kings and Jacks)
(Pre 29%, Flop 75%, Turn 7%)
CO wins 205.6 BB
Which gives us 9% to hit our monster and after his raise we have like 16% pot odds. So direct odds are not there. But I think that we have massive implied odds with both him raising and the fish calling. So call on the turn is close but profitable in the long run I think. But river should be check/fold even for the odds yeah.