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PLO8 tournament Semi-bluff with nut low

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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

I do this quite a bit. The idea is to get people with better high hands to fold.
We're targeting two-pair and sets mainly

In this case, I may have killed the goose that laid the golden egg, since had I bet smaller, I might have got weaker high hands to bet.

What do you think?

PokerStars - 25/50 PL Hi/Lo (6 max) - Omaha Hi/Lo - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 3,225
UTG: 3,462
MP: 3,172
CO: 2,915
BTN: 3,134
Hero (SB): 2,552

Hero posts SB 25, BB posts BB 50

Pre Flop: (pot: 75) Hero has 5♠:Q♥:3♥:2♦:

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 145, BB calls 95

Flop: (290, 2 players) 2♠:T♥:4♥:
Hero bets 200, BB calls 200

Turn: (690, 2 players) J♣:
Hero checks, BB bets 690, Hero calls 690

River: (2,070, 2 players) A♥:
Hero bets 1,517 and is all-in, fold

Hero wins 2,070


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5 replies
najtreg12
Joined: 25.06.2009

The idea is to get people with better high hands to fold.

Normally a correct thinking process.
However you have nut low and almost nut high (after K flush), so getting better hands to fold seems an incorrect though process this hand


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potyka007
Joined: 01.09.2007

I would bet on turn.

[table]ProPokerTools Omaha Hi/Lo Simulation
5,840,860 trials (Exhaustive)
board: T♥4♥2♠
[/table]
[table=head]Hand |Pot equity |Scoops |Wins Hi|Ties Hi|Wins Lo |Ties Lo
Qh3h5s2d|58.44% |2,655,213|2,843,011|30,442|3,309,038|101,996
TTxx,44xx,T4xx|41.56% |1,670,878|2,967,407|30,442|348,894|101,996
[/table]


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potyka007
Joined: 01.09.2007

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi/Lo Simulation
9,532,500 trials (Exhaustive)
board: T♥4♥2♠
Qh3h5s2d 55.10% (3,726,505 scoops, 5,304,976 wins hi, 148,669 ties hi, 3,714,785 wins lo, 205,304 ties lo)
TTxx,44xx,T4xx,A3xx 44.90% (2,743,817 scoops, 4,078,855 wins hi, 148,669 ties hi, 2,426,817 wins lo, 205,304 ties lo)


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NaJeS
Joined: 30.07.2009

It is ok bet ..


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NatRPheM
Joined: 05.10.2008

Surely you misread your hand here?


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