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[PLO2] Enough Equity to call on Turn?

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Kostja007
Joined: 02.01.2020

Do I have enough Equity to call? I think it is really tough. What do you think?

PokerStars - $0.02 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB
SB: 101.5 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 26 BB
MP: 117 BB
CO: 259 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4♣ J♥ K♣ A♥

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, CO raises to 6 BB, BTN calls 6 BB, fold, Hero calls 5 BB, UTG calls 4 BB

Flop: (24.5 BB, 4 players) 2♠ A♣ Q♣
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets 12 BB, fold, Hero calls 12 BB, UTG calls 12 BB

Turn: (60.5 BB, 3 players) K♥
Hero checks, UTG bets 8 BB and is all-in, CO raises to 82.5 BB, Hero calls 82 BB and is all-in

River: (232.5 BB, 3 players) 9♦

Players agreed to run it twice.

River #2: (232.5 BB, 3 players) J♣


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5 replies
ZakYoun270
Joined: 10.12.2015

So we are getting almost 2:1. We know 8 cards (44 left), and like 11 of them. 33:11 or 3:1 with no money left to win. Easy fold. Unless we think maybe CO doesn't have the straight. He did bet the flop after all.


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Kostja007
Joined: 02.01.2020

Every T gives us nut straight as well and also every K and A gives us a good full house.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Problem here is that most of time CO will have AA or AQJT type hand probably. Versus those we don't have enough equity. If we mix in some AKxx though then it gets close.

If you count all cards improving your hand as out it's like close to breakeven but that is unrealistic as sometimes straight give just split pot or pairing card gives villain better hand.


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Kostja007
Joined: 02.01.2020

Ok. I really thought that this situation is very close for call or fold.
Villain had just top 2 pair like me and first pot was a split pot and the pot i did win. Against two players I had 53% equity. I was really supprised that I actually was holding the best hand in this situation.


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mkBISCUIT
Joined: 19.01.2018

No,
your card equity is 22% and your pot odds are about ~34%


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