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AK top pair turn?

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Iceman1152
Joined: 17.07.2017

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 128.5 BB
SB: 97.5 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 289.5 BB
MP: 133 BB
CO: 92 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♠ A♥

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, UTG calls 6 BB

Flop: (18.5 BB, 2 players) A♣ 9♥ 8♣
Hero bets 11 BB, UTG calls 11 BB

Turn: (40.5 BB, 2 players) 2♣
Hero bets 31 BB, fold

Hero wins 39 BB

Villain is 38/30 aggressive player (Total AF: 10) , OTF maybe we can Cbet bigger, around 15-16BB, cause I expect value from weaker Ax and there are lots of draw.

The question is what do we do on this turn? I'd bet cause still targeting the Ax cards.
And if we bet the turn and he goes all-in can we call?


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mjez1
Joined: 29.06.2015

I do raise bigger OOP, like 4x.
You can definitely bet bigger on this flop, you're right.
OTT I would fold on aggression on the flush board at NL2. I don't think he would shove a bluff.


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

I woudln’t go larger OTF , UTG RFI/ 3-bet calling range shouldn’t have really any 9x here I would imagine besides maybe T9s A9 and 99, his J9s Q9s and K9 should fold to the 3-bet. We have AK and an ace is on board so makes it less likely he has an ace ( not impossible obv.)

Turns too large imo, he will likely continue with his PP TT-QQ with a club but fold the ones that don’t have a club to this sizing and I think we want value from his PP’s. we have an Ace so it makes it less likely for him to have one. I would bet about half pot on the turn to get value from all his weaker PP that might call another street, if another club comes I check fold if not a club or scary card would bet river to get value from worse Ax and fold to a raise.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by mjez1
I do raise bigger OOP, like 4x.
You can definitely bet bigger on this flop, you're right.
OTT I would fold on aggression on the flush board at NL2. I don't think he would shove a bluff.

Villain is folding the turn, but the bet sizing is to high I think. Around half pot Cbet on turn is big enough.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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