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AQs with lots of outs

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FriskyArt
Joined: 27.10.2009

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG (Hero): $2.34 (117 bb)
MP: $2.08 (104 bb)
CO: $0.78 (39 bb)
BU: $2.03 (102 bb)
SB: $2.07 (104 bb)
BB: $2.99 (150 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG with Q A
Hero raises to $0.05, 2 players fold, BTN 3-bets to $0.18, 2 players fold, Hero calls $0.13

Flop: ($0.39) T 5 J (2 players)
Hero bets $0.13, BTN calls $0.13

Turn: ($0.65) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.38, BTN calls $0.38

River: ($1.41) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.82, BTN calls $0.82

Total pot: $3.05 (Rake: $0.11)

Spoiler

Showdown:
UTG (Hero) shows Q A (high card, Ace)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 34%, Flop: 32%, Turn: 34%, River: 0%)

BU shows Q Q (a pair of Queens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 66%, Flop: 68%, Turn: 66%, River: 100%)

BU wins $2.94

I think Villain's range looks like this:


Board: (preflop)
Pos  Equity  Range
UTG  45.55% { 22+,A2s+,K8s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,ATo+,KJo+ }
BU   54.45% { 88+,ATs+,A5s,A4s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AJo+,KQo }
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Board: T♥5♣J♠
Pos  Equity  Range
UTG  45.37% { 22+,A2s+,KTs+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,ATo+,KJo+ }
BU   54.63% { 88+,ATs+,A5s,A4s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AJo+,KQo }
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Postflop range adjusted put's me a little bit more behind then my initial thought.


Board: T♥5♣J♠
Pos  Equity  Range
UTG  40.69% { AcQc }
BU   59.31% { 88+,A9s+,A5s,K9s+,Q9s+,JTs,T9s,98s,ATo+,KJo+,QJo }
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Preflop call vs BN 3-bet is ok I think? Postflop I was thinking 50-50 while it's more 40-60 I can see now. The turn added more outs but doesn't change much equity-wise. I wanted to take down the pot their with a semi-bluff. OTR I didn't hit one of my 16 outs and probably should have C/F because after evaluating my own play there was not much good I could expect from that river bet apart from maybe a AK to fold but thats a stretch.


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8 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would play the hand the same until the river. I don't think a bluff will work on the river. Especially against a unknown on NL2 the change villain will call you down is huge.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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FriskyArt
Joined: 27.10.2009

Thanks you are right i should've known. Never put him on qq tho


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jiffybag
Joined: 21.12.2010

I think tighten the 3bet range you assign unknown players at 2NL until you can confirm otherwise. Remember you are unknown to them as well. How do you know this player will fold AK to a bluff? As played leading or check calling I think is okay, but the river is a check/fold. Below is the range I would have assigned.


Board: T♥5♣J♦
Pos Equity Range
UTG 30.84% { AQs }
BU 69.16% { 88+,AJs+,AQo+ }
Powered by Equiweb - 6 Max Hold'em Equity Simulations


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FriskyArt
Joined: 27.10.2009

That range makes much more sense actually. Thanks for your advice, I'm still learning a lot here.


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Pokamon
Joined: 15.04.2006

i see no reason to have a leading range here. i like X/C, X/Jam w the additional equity.


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microfever
Joined: 23.09.2019

PF standard. On the flop little cbet makes no sence. In 3bet pot half a pot+1bb should be "standard". Blind here or there. Little cbet accomplishes nothing for you.
On turn I bet and shut down for more action. Turn bet size is better. Very exploitable strat but in micro it doesnt matter.


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Vampiir142
Joined: 01.10.2017

Preflop:
I think you are giving to UTG so wide open range like low pairs 22, 33, 44, low connectrosr 54s, 56s, ... and than you heb full range for call 3B from BTN,
3B range for BTN vs UTG looks wide too. you are expecting that people will be 3B so wide vs UTG?
Posfflop:
What hand you are presenting that you have with 3 streets bet? KJ green?


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Talisker74
Joined: 17.08.2009

Why is donking at the flop a good idea?
3bet vs UTG open is most likely a strong Hand.
BTN has initiative and your range is caped. So what do you want to achieve with the bet?


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