My goal for next month is to put it more volume and less worrying about trying to understand every single spot and stuff. I think I just like studying more than playing or something. I find I am making a lot of adjustments to my game and it's making me a little inconsistent. My goal for NL25 was to get the pattern matching down better and I think I have done that.
I am getting into these wormholes with trying to understand when we want to overbet some rivers vs GTO to try and understand what is happening with the pool vs betting medium size, but I don't think there is a lot of EV in doing this, but it just helps me brain have some kind of mental model.
This was my graph (HERE) as of Friday or something and I think it's fine to just focus more on volume for a while, so for March I am going to make a volume goal, and try focus on this. I am like one heater from shooting NL50.
Work was very busy and I think it was hard to do this and poker at the same time. This has changed now, and moving onto a project that has variables that more inside my control, so I think it will be less stressful.
I think my results are pretty good, the volume is still low, but the total results ate 22bb/100, and then just the NL25 part is 13bb/100.
My main fear is "cheating" my way to some limit with some fundamentals missing and having to go backwards, so I have been taking it slow. Even in a soft fishpool like bodog poker is fucking hard. The nice thing about it is there is enough punters where having a winrate > 0 is not that hard so you have 1 less thing to worry about.
Pushing myself to do lines that are uncomfortable is still hard.
Overbetting a scare card on the river IP cause both players are super capped is scary, but that's how you make more money I think.
Risk reward is a big thing in finance as well, and I think it's true here too. People are scared of losing.
Higher risk plays in finance usually involve taking out a loan to leverage your investment. No one likes doing this, despite mathematical models showing it's optimality for return per unit of risk paid, everyone just un-diverisfies their portfolio when they want more risk (ex ALL IN ON TESLA), but the idea of losing seems to rattle them. I see the same analogy in poker. OVERBETTING IS SCARY.
Overbetting is scary when you have a good hand cause they fold a lot. It's scary when you're bluffing cause you can lose a lot.
The emotional journey..especally when I have been feeling really anxious in general has been very interesting.
The next challenge to break through here is to play more.