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[Closed] 66 NL100 SH deep

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Marg0z
Joined: 10.04.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($201)
BB ($160)
UTG ($63.35)
UTG+1 ($115)
CO ($131)
Hero ($248)

Dealt to Hero 6♣6♥

UTG raises to $2, fold, fold, Hero calls $2, SB raises to $11.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $9.50,

FLOP ($26) 6♦5♦7♣

SB bets $15, Hero raises to $54, SB calls $39,

TURN ($134) 6♦5♦7♣4♦

SB bets $80, Hero ???

SB is 25/20 wts: 22 af: 40 and he is quite good player

SB may squeze looser cause UTG is a big donk 65/46 and also we are 200bb deep so i called for set value.

Flop is wet so I raised and after he called my raise i was almost sure he had sth like AKs, AQs, AJs ... or maybe 88 . Calling my raise OOP with overpair makes no sens for me.

On turn flush completes and he bets into me

Pot odds: 27%
Equity against flush: 22%

Shove turn or just call or fold ?

For me it is kinda EV 0 situation


1 reply
TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

any more information on SB?

If you take a range like that:

Board: 6d 5d 7c 4d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.545% 44.55% 05.00% 882 99.00 { 66 }
Hand 1: 50.455% 45.45% 05.00% 900 99.00 { AcAd, AdAh, AdAs, KcKd, KdKh, KdKs, QcQd, QdQh, QdQs, 7c7d, 7d7h, 7d7s, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, KdQd }

you should go broke against such a range, but it's hard to tell if he is playing exactly that range or not.

What's import is: forget about the exact pot odds. You have to take the rest stack also into account because the rest in gonna go i either on turn or river.

The pot is 134, he has 134 more. So you basically have to pay 134 for 268, what means you get exactly 2:1 and therefore need 33% equity.

---> If he does it with just a flush, you have to fold. If he is doing it with the range above, ship it.

I need to be at the table to really say what I would do. I tend to ship it though.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar