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[Closed] 100 NL - Deep AK in 3bet 4way pot on A9xss getting c/r

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Villain UTG: VPIP:21 PFR:17 WTS: 29 AF:3.0 fold to 3 bets 54% 28k hands

Villain MP: VPIP:50 PFR:26 WTS: 26 AF:3.0 fold to 3bets 36% 5 khands

Villain SB: VPIP:23 PFR:18 WTS: 29 AF:2.3 fold to 3bets 56% flop agg 2.8 c/r flop 10% 64 k hands

History a lil bit, I did 3bet couple of times before, nothing really hugh tho.

Pre I should have made it like 16-18 I think. I would have probably just folded vs a UTG 4 bet since his 4 betting range is only 1.2 % according to more than 20k hands.

On the flop I don´t want UTG to fold AQ, which he could definetly bet/fold here I would assume. So I just decide to flat and call him down or raise the turn AI then. Now the SB is c/r AI here and I am getting about 2:1 on my money.

If I assume the following range, I have to call:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

14,850 games 0.078 secs 190,384 games/sec

Board: Ad 9d 6s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.229% 16.45% 19.78% 2443 2937.00 { AsKc }
Hand 1: 63.771% 43.99% 19.78% 6533 2937.00 { 99, 66, AQs+, KdQd, AKo }

If you take out the AQs Combos, I would only have about 28% EQ and would have a fold.

Should be a pretty close spot here. Whats your opinion? Is the range chosen well?

IPoker Network $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 375470
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $319.45
UTG: $206.89
MP: $70.40
CO: $100.00
Hero (BTN): $189.75
SB: $326.89

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A :spade: K :club:
UTG raises to $4, MP calls $4, 1 fold, Hero raises to $14, SB calls $13.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $10, MP calls $10

Flop: ($57.00) 6 :spade: A :diamond: 9 :diamond: (4 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $28.50, MP folds, Hero calls $28.50, SB raises to $312.89


4 replies
caltabiano
Joined: 09.03.2007

I don't think he does that with AQ. It would be pretty crazy. So I think you can take AQ out, since you don't have a very strong read. I mean, he's c/r all in after 2 people showed interest in this huge 4 way pot.

He cold called your squeeze OOP, so I think you can rule out the KQs from his range. I don't see people flatting that. What I do see people flatting: 99 - JJ, AQ and AA form time to time.

I think it's very unlikely you're ahead here and I would fold it. My guess is 99 =)


Hi,

according to his stats SB looks like a decent player.
So he either has a set or maybe 87s => Fold

Let's see what the judges think.

Best regards,
Anin


Peetfeef
Joined: 23.02.2007

I would have raised preflop to $16-18 and pushed on flop to UTG's Donk to get a call from somebody holding a draw or AQ, AJ perhaps.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd fold it.
I think it's hard to imagine that he's shoving with a hand like top pair - and if he does he's doing it with a TPTK hand because he should also be scared of AK if he holds AQ.

Btw i'd not shove the flop myself, 100BB deep that would be my play, too. But 180BB deep there are no worse hands calling and UTGs donkbet already showed a lot of strength.

I actually even thought about folding to the donkbet because you have no redraws and will be playing a very big pot while you're deep.