[Closed] SNG Prop bet help

top shark website does ITM stats

You can't know for sure how many SnG's did he make, therefor you can't put your money in it...

He can play ONE SnG, make it to the money, and you will lose the bet ... 100%..

He is not going to get 70% ITM over something like a few hundred SNGs even if he is half tabling them. ♦ You can bet even 1 to 10 against him any day.

or is it 10 to 1?

CHeers lennonac, top sharkshark is pefect. So an update so far since i made the bet.

Games Played Av. Profit Av. Stake Av. ROI Total Profit Form Ability /100
147 $27 $41 59% $3,956 Hot 90 PokerStars

He's won his last 4 SNGs and his ITM stats are around 50% just now, although the best only started last week and the results only show me for the last 90 days so this can only be found after the 90 days the bet goes on for. He's running really hot and for the first time hes making more money than me a month and the green eyed monster is appearing in me. This run can only go on so long though, and he knows it too, hes starting to worry now when he plays that a downswing is just round the corner!

I'm pretty sure that 70% ITM is so rediculous that if he achieved this over a large sample size his account would be investigated for cheating. I think anything over 40% is pretty damn good.

70 % itm on a decent samplesize is just impossible. Even 40 % itm is pretty hard to get. easy money on the bet imo