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[Closed] $16 KJo BB bubble call?

13 Posts
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LgWz
Joined: 26.05.2007

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
4 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$15+$1

Stacks:
CO (5,105)
BTN (3,460)
SB (2,805)
Hero (BB) (2,130)

Blinds: 200/400 Ante 25

Pre-Flop: (700, 4 players) Hero is BB J♦ K♥
1 fold, BTN goes all-in 3,435, 1 fold, Hero folds

34/27 76h 4-6 handed, do you think he pushes enough to make it a call?


12 replies

I think most players aren't pushing wide enouth.
I think KJs, KQo is a better range than Nash's against an average player.


arinho
Joined: 30.11.2007

I fold this, but I am not so sure what would I do with KJs and KQo...

depends on waht has been going on on the table before...

I think I call AJs+, 88+ and KQs almost agains everyone


Hlynkinn
Joined: 14.06.2008

A9+ 77+ looks more like a calling range to me... But I'm a fish


Anssi
Joined: 03.07.2008

Probably not a mistake to call in this spot with KJo since I don't really see you getting many good spots in the future. From sb you are pushing with almost no FE.


You have 5BB, and most players push loose from the button, so I think this is a call


KJo is in the botton of Nash's range for Hero.

And Nash has BU on:
43.3%, 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K7o+ Q2s+ Q9o+ J5s+ J9o+ T6s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 75s+ 65s 54s

Like I said, I think the average player doesn't push that wide...

VS Nash KJo has 50,29 equity.
I removed Q5s-, J7s-, T7s-, 75s. It's still a wide range. But now we have only 48,7% equity.
If we change our hand to KJs, we have 51,1 equity agaist the second range.

So I keep my range A8s+, A9o+, KJs+, KQo, 66+

I didn't calculate the equity we realy need to call, so maybe that range is still wrong.


Dont forget we get 1 - 1.58 odds, I still think its a call


Nash ranges considers the odds... It is a plus cEV call, but maybe not $ev


viewer88
Joined: 19.04.2008

Nash calculates the $EV

I don't think the typical random is gonna be shoving loose enough to call this here based on pure $EV calculations, but the bad stack setup for you makes the call look more attractive. I don't have the wizard here, this looks like and interesting hand to feed some ranges for villain.


its +EV if you think he's pushing 42+%

I think against a reg I would call here, assuming we have a tight image against him. I think most regs will push like 50% here, because most players won't call him wide enough.


Preaver
Joined: 18.07.2006

If villain is a thinking opponent you can definitely call here because in that case he might shove even close to any2 cards. Without reads I think its kinda close and a pretty tough call. Against a random fish this is an easy fold for me.


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by Preaver
If villain is a thinking opponent you can definitely call here because in that case he might shove even close to any2 cards. Without reads I think its kinda close and a pretty tough call. Against a random fish this is an easy fold for me.

Thanks :).