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[Closed] NL100: AK, TPTK facing raise on draw heavy board OOP

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Hi!

Here I was raised IP on flop.

CO is 21/13 AF 3.0 (large sample). As board its quite draw heavy I feel commited here and basically continuing with pressure on any blank turn (no , 9, and A would be tricky one.

Do you see it differently. How would you copare chances I am here against draw vs set?

Funktor

OnGame - $1 NL (5 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

CO: $115.90
BTN: $46.20
SB: $208.10
BB: $209.80
Hero (UTG): $100.00

SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has K♣ A♠

Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($8.50, 2 players) K♥ Q♦ 6♦
Hero bets $6.50, CO raises to $20.00, Hero calls $13.50

Turn: ($48.50, 2 players) 5♥
Hero bets $36.50, CO raises to $92.40 and is all-in, Hero calls $40.00 and is all-in


5 replies

what's his f2cb and rcb %?


F2CB 60%
Raise 14%


not that high. If he doesn't flat premium pf (I also exclude AKdd) his value raising range is 66 and KQ which adds to 9 combos. We need to know if he can raise here AdXd if he can i'd 3b and get it in. If he doesn't it's sucks...
he won't expect you to donk the turn with less then AK so I don't think he'd jam a draw.
so if u do choose to donk here i suggest you don't commit yourself to the pot as i'd bet/fold in case he raise.


Purity
Joined: 28.01.2008

Fold flop : People generally choose to float with draws IP instead of raising. On NL100 there is basically no balancing in that area.
=> So either you are looking at a very strong draw that doesn't mind playing for stacks like flush+gutshot or flush+oesd or you are crushed against 2pair+

As played fold to turn raise : You are certainly not commited ( even after your big turn bet ) because we can safely assume we are looking at 3 outs in best case scenario against KQ or drawing dead against set.

You shouldn't mind throwing away TPTK in an ugly spot like this. Most of time when you don't have a good idea what to do ( this is a sign that you don't have good reads/notes on villain, idea about his range and don't know his bluffing frequency ) best option is to fold.

I strongly doubt you will earn money in this spot (looking at it from a longterm perspective where u face this situation multiple times without good reads) by going with your hand.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd also just fold to the flopraise.
At first I considered 3betting and calling, but imo the positions are an important factor: if it was CO vs BU I'd be much more likely to not fold, but our range in MP (usually) is considerably stronger than the CO-range, therefore I think (as purity said) he's less likely to have draws - and if he has a draw it's usually ~flipping against our hand.

Additionally he is more likely to flat hands like QQ+ and KQ preflop (BU vs CO he might be more inclined to just 3bet for value).

If we want to continue, both, 3betting and calling with the plan of leading are ok.
But since we even want to b/f on the turn I think we should just muck it on the flop.