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[Closed] 5$sng

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looserbaby79
Joined: 20.01.2009

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t1550)
BB (t1280)
UTG (t1480)
UTG+1 (t1640)
MP1 (t1410)
MP2 (t1510)
CO (t1630)
Button (t1470)

Hero's M: 34.44

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, Q
1 fold, UTG+1 bets t90, MP1 calls t90, 3 folds, Hero calls t75, 1 fold

Flop: (t300) 2, K, 2 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets t210, Hero folds, 1 fold

Total pot: t300

hi guys do i have the right odds to call preflop oop in this situation. and whats about call with AQoff or AJ.
thx


4 replies

Nah, just lay it down. Well played :)


VBZg
Joined: 06.12.2009

imo
np, AQo, AJ fold

Question for judges: Could this be good situation in this early stage where we use sandwich by push with AQs?


dangermowse
Joined: 24.10.2010

You could push versus a relatively loose opener otherwise a flat is best and I'd fold against a tight reg.


Hlynkinn
Joined: 14.06.2008

calling here preflop is fine.. AQs plays well multiway and has some implied odds..

risk vs reward is terrible when you squeeze here..

risk 1480 to win 225 chips... but ofcourse it depends heavily on reads...
lets say an unknown opens with 13% here.. and goes broke with TT+ AK+ AQs+ that means you'll get called ~30% of the time... (for simplification we assume mp1 never calls us here). AQs has ~35% equity against that range..

Effective bet size: 1320 on top of calling 75.
Probability of winning when called: 0,35
Probability of getting called: 0,3
Give up: 1535 chips, 0,1279, SD:$16,17
Successful steal: 1760 chips, 0,1441
Failed bluff, lose: 140 chips, 0,0133
Failed bluff, win: 3080 chips, 0,2301
Ties count as 55,39% of a win.
Failed bluff, average: 0,0892
Semibluff, average: 0,1276, SD: $16,31
Net gain from semibluff: -0,03%

Calls allowed at 0,35 equity: 29,43%
Equity needed at 70% folds: 0,3548

this means it's a loosing move.. but you'll need to play with the numbers in your head and sometimes opponents will open wider here and maybe go broke with a wider range which makes it a better move.. but I think in general that it's not as profitable as just flat calling here and use our edge =)