Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Known players:
[tg]BB$70.30:///////;UTG1$48.20:///////;UTG2$171.35:///////;MP1$20.75:///////;MP2$114.55:///////;MP3$103.50:///////;CO (Hero)$94.50:///////;BU$20.00:///////;SB$19.25:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is CO with 5:h, 4:h.
UTG1 folds, UTG2 raises to $1.50, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $6.50, 3 folds, UTG2 calls $5.00, MP2 folds.
Flop: ($15.25) A:d, 7:c, J:h (2 players)
UTG2 checks, Hero bets $7.50, UTG2 calls $7.50.
Turn: ($30.25) 3:d (2 players)
UTG2 bets $14.00, Hero calls $14.00.
River: ($58.25) 9:s (2 players)
UTG2 bets $30.75, Hero folds, UTG2 gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $58.25.
As played, how do you proceed on turn? Villain is 45/27 after 30 hands. I'd say his range here is 77/JJ/AA and some AJ and on the rare occasion AK. We are deep and he seems loose so I assume he is calling 77 PF so we have 18% against all sets, 6 out of 16 AJ combos and 2 out of 16 AK. I put in all sets but he would have 4b AA most the time so this is only rough estimate. We need 24% to call and I think I will def win his stack most the time when I hit as his range is so strong.
