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[Closed] nl5 fr aks

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Jim4rdo
Joined: 03.10.2010
PokerStrategist

So this hand was a little weird.

Villain is 12/2 over 159 hands, so pretty nitty. wtsd 11%, w$sd 50%. 3.3 aggression.

I think it's pretty unlikely he has a FD here since he's not gonna donk put me all in with made flush.

So I'm guessing here he's done it so I can't call with anything like TPTK.

Can we call here? I think maybe he has something like J or K paired. and so his bet would kind of make sense. I don't think he'd shove a set of 2's on the river since he gets no value from KJx type hands.

Thoughts?

Thanks

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($5.25)
BB ($1.93)
UTG ($1.61)
UTG+1 ($11.41)
UTG+2 ($5.26)
CO ($4.94)
Hero ($5)

Dealt to Hero A♠ K♠

fold, UTG+1 calls $0.05, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.25, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.20

FLOP ($0.57) 2♦ K♥ J♣

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.40, UTG+1 calls $0.40

TURN ($1.37) 2♦ K♥ J♣ 6♥

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.05, UTG+1 calls $1.05

RIVER ($3.47) 2♦ K♥ J♣ 6♥ 8♥

UTG+1 bets $3.30, Hero folds

UTG+1 wins $3.30


1 reply
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008
BlackMember

Hello Jim4rdo,

Whatever he did have I don't think that we beat it. Against our line while we bet the flop & turn pretty big he decides to donk the river that huge, it's most likely that we are beat, good fold!

Best regards.


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