Not proud of this one at all...more like embarrassed... but we are learning here, right? lately I have been very succesfull restealing shorties with 2x their steal size. Only now I noticed that this one has 33% fold to resteal instead of their usual 75-80%, so I got myself into trouble. Whats the best line here? Just shove preflop? Please evaluate:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
Hero ($25)
BB ($8.39)
UTG ($39.74)
UTG+1 ($26.23)
UTG+2 ($4.63)
MP1 ($13.93)
MP2 ($4.26)
CO ($4.51)
BTN ($5)
Dealt to Hero T♠ T♣
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, BTN calls $0.75
FLOP ($3.75) Q♠ 3♠ A♣
Hero bets $1.87, BTN raises to $3.25 (AI), Hero calls $1.38
Spoiler
TURN ($10.25) Q♠ 3♠ A♣ A♥
RIVER ($10.25) Q♠ 3♠ A♣ A♥ 9♣
BTN shows A♦ J♦
(Pre 45%, Flop 86.5%, Turn 95.5%)
Hero shows T♠ T♣
(Pre 55%, Flop 13.5%, Turn 4.5%)
BTN wins $9.75