NL100sh AA c/f River?

salflip

Joined: 02.10.2007

Posts: 618

13.10.2011, 03:37 0

no dynamic or reads

c/f?

Villain 23/19/st33/f23b61/f2cb22/AF2.9/25wtsd 2.8k hands

Really hate this spot, can't see myself getting called by worse otr tbh, maybe KQ but I highly doubt it :f_mad:

what do you think of my bet sizing here? thought it could be bigger otf as hes only folding 22% of the time

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($103)
Hero ($101)
UTG ($114)
UTG+1 ($107)
CO ($54.70)
BTN ($115)

Dealt to Hero A♣ A♠

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.50, SB calls $2, Hero raises to $11, BTN calls $8.50, fold

FLOP ($24.50) K♣ 5♦ 9♦

Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

TURN ($52.50) K♣ 5♦ 9♦ 8♦

Hero bets $26.25, BTN calls $26.25

RIVER ($105) K♣ 5♦ 9♦ 8♦ 4♣

Hero checks, BTN bets $64.37 (AI), Hero folds

BTN wins $102

4 replies

Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 3,322

13.10.2011, 08:47 0

Imo since he doesn't fold to cbets a c/shove on the turn is a good alternative to betting as his range is wide and we're generally giving up a lot in this spot.

As played I'm definitely shoving the river to get value from TP's - besides flushes there's almost nothing in his range that beats us as most 2pairs and sets shove the turn.

If you check it's a c/f though as a c/c is a negative freeroll imo.

Variance giveth and variance taketh away.

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Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 3,322

13.10.2011, 08:47 0

Imo since he doesn't fold to cbets a c/shove on the turn is a good alternative to betting as his range is wide and we're generally giving up a lot in this spot.

As played I'm definitely shoving the river to get value from TP's - besides flushes there's almost nothing in his range that beats us as most 2pairs and sets shove the turn.

If you check it's a c/f though as a c/c is a negative freeroll imo.

Variance giveth and variance taketh away.

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salflip

Joined: 02.10.2007

Posts: 618

13.10.2011, 10:02 0

thx for the feedback, i like a c/r here on the turn > than a 3 barrel for the aforementioned reasons

is bet sizing ok?

do you think this player type is really going to be calling KJ, KQ or worse otr?

as my initial assumption would be that he folds those hands tbh otr after i 3 barrel which is one of the reasons why the the c/jam line seems pretty sexy imo :f_love:

Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 3,322

13.10.2011, 15:27 0

Originally posted by salflip
thx for the feedback, i like a c/r here on the turn > than a 3 barrel for the aforementioned reasons

is bet sizing ok?
I might make it a little bigger on the turn to get more value vs FDs and set up better stacksizes for the river (i.e. make it more likely that Kx calls).

do you think this player type is really going to be calling KJ, KQ or worse otr?
Well it's a 3bet pot, he has TPGK and he's getting around 3:1. He will call some of the time for sure imo.

as my initial assumption would be that he folds those hands tbh otr after i 3 barrel which is one of the reasons why the the c/jam line seems pretty sexy imo

Variance giveth and variance taketh away.

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[Closed] NL100sh AA c/f River?