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[Closed] PLO25 - Weak AA** in 3-bet pot against loose player

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TerrorBlade
Joined: 16.10.2007

Hey guys,
Villain here is 81/21 after 80 hands has shown down 40% so far but isn't maniacal postflop.

I realise after looking at this hand that I put myself in this spot all on my own.

If I had potted the flop I would have 13$ behind into a 26$ pot on the turn and could blindly shove turns against this guy. Is this a correct assessment?

As played though, I wasn't sure whether my SPR was low enough to go with it on this bad turn. On the one hand I did improve to the wheel so sucked out on 2-pairs etc. but I wasn't sure if they were paying me off?

Then I contradict my own logic and call off a river bet which he probably isn't putting in with anything less than a flush, especially since 5xxx 2ps just filled up.

Every now and again I make these super ugly river stackoffs and it rapes my winrate but they're few and far between now so there you go.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($38.82)
SB ($23.96)
BB ($25)
UTG ($58.62)
Hero (MP) ($25)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A, 10, 3
UTG bets $0.85, Hero raises to $2.90, 1 fold, SB calls $2.80, 1 fold, UTG calls $2.05

Flop: ($8.95) J, 2, 4 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $6.25, 1 fold, UTG calls $6.25

Turn: ($21.45) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($21.45) 5 (2 players)
UTG bets $20.40, Hero calls $15.85 (All-In)

Total pot: $53.15 | Rake: $2


1 reply
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Great flop to pot certainly, you're going to end up flipping a lot against flush draws (you're favourite if they have no pair, otherwise it's a flip).

Turn does suck but improving to a straight helps a little. However a set isn't in villain's range here due to check/calling the flop so I don't mind giving a free card since I don't care about the board pairing really.

The question is how often villain has a flush here. There is still enough left on the river that he could think a bluff will work, so I'm tempted to call without any particular reads, but that also leaves me thinking about what he is calling with on the flop, and how most of that range beats me now on the river (even 356x may have backdoored into a full house).

Bleh, I agree it's a horrible board.