Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($7.04)
BB ($8.25)
UTG ($13.77)
Hero ($10.86)
CO ($12.27)
BTN ($10)
Dealt to Hero Q♥ A♠
UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, fold, BB calls $0.40, UTG calls $0.40
FLOP ($2.55) A♦ Q♦ 2♦
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.05, CO raises to $11.77 (AI), BTN folds, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $8.31 (AI)
TURN ($23.27) A♦ Q♦ 2♦ 4♥
RIVER ($23.27) A♦ Q♦ 2♦ 4♥ J♦
47/5/1,7 397 hands
such pasive rasies, and in multiway pot, probably its sets or flushes. Maybe A2.
For exaple agaisnt this range
AA,QQ,22,AQs,A2s,Jd9d,8d7d,4d3d,AQo
I do bad:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 35.76% 20.26% 15.49% AsQh
MP3 64.24% 48.75% 15.49% AA, QQ, 22, AQs, A2s, Jd9d, 8d7d, 4d3d, AQo
I need 40% equity. The problem is that at the game I think - how can I fold this. I remember making laydowns with good hands which were actually bad as I figured out when discusing. So don't want to miss value. And also - I am doing good if he has AK, or even AJ - then I crush him. With AJ this player would probably want to stackoff for protection.
I'd really rather just Bet/Fold it here, so many flushes possible and it's even very likely. You at the best might face something like pair+FD or A2. But even against any pair+FD our equity ain't very good.