Very good article, but there are things forgotten, or only not mentioned to keep the article simple. I don't know which is true.
- $300m in rake, $600m in withdrawals => monthly deposits needed $900m.
I don't know whether the $300m is 'pure' rake - i.e. room's profit from rake, or from this amount goes some rakeback back to players. I guess avg. rakeback in the industry can be around 30%. Yes, most players do not recieve any rakeback, but these players also rake less. There are hundreds of players, maybe even thousands, who actually rake a six-digit sum per year. These players usually recieve huge rakebacks in various forms. SNE on Stars is worth more than 70% rb, isn't it? Plus various deposit bonuses, which usually all players have, i think the rate of 30% can be realistic. That is $100m (almost). This can be considered as deposits, because it goes back to poker industry, or the rake can be smaller and thus less deposits needed to maintain whole industry. - I have no idea how significant thiscan be, but the withdrawals and deposits needed can be lesser because of people simply transferring funds between various poker rooms. Or people who chase every deposit bonus possible.
edit: just realized this is covered in "'pseudo-deposits' made by winning players", but only reversed. From my point of view they withdraw first and deposit then. - "Drastically lower the rake on the micro and small stakes."
I can't fully agree with this without further arguments. Again, it cocnerns the numbers above. This will definitely lower the overall rake, but it would also increase the withdrawals, and also probably decrease deposits. Part of the rake spared will go to players, who will become winners, or to players, who already winners are. These are the players making withdrawals. Some of them will withdraw immediately, some move to higher limits and withdraw later. The rest of the spared rake will go to losing players. But these player are those bringing new deposits. And they will bust later, and deposit another funds later. This second part is arguable, because $600 here - "average recreational player deposits $600 in his lifetime before he churns" - will probably not change, but he will deposit it over longer period. Thus this effect will be only short-term.
But it would definitely have a meaning if it will come together with strong marketing strategies focused on creating the new target group.
