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Oscars Betting

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BarryCarter
Joined: 13.01.2011

Ok I know the Oscars are not a sport, but it is an event the sports betting community put a lot of money on.

Anyone got any tips for the winners?

IMO Birdman for best picture. It's a 'meta' film in that in it is a movie about movies. Its one of the favourites and I think given it will be movie industry people voting, its a good pick.

The director of Boyhood for best director. This movie could also win best picture, but I think it will get this one instead. It is a unique movie which took ten years to make, it has to win one of the big two.

Eddie Redmayne for best actor. He was amazing in The Theory of Everything and its hard to vote against him when Stephen Hawking is alive and well, because we all know Professor Hawking and therefore all know how accurate a performance it was.

Julienne Moore is a massive favourite for best actress. On betfair she is about 1.03. For this reason, I think it is very profitable to lay her in that market. The reason? The Oscars board historically hate it when the media makes such strong predictions and will purposelly vote against conventional opinion, which exactly where the expression 'Oscars snub' comes from.

Anyone else got any suggestions?


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3 replies
JimC6
Joined: 01.04.2011

I have a small bet on Rosamund Pike at 50/1. Also a slightly bigger bet on Michael Keaton for best actor 3/1. Just my personal opinion but I can't for the life of me see how Julianne Moore is so odds on to win, I watched Still Alice just because of the odds to see if she was really that good and I was not impressed. While when I watched Gone Girl I was blown away by Pike.

On Betfair you can bet at 11/10 for the Best Actress winner to cry during her acceptance speech. I think if Julianne Moore does win she is certain to cry so could be a nice way to cover yourself if you lay her.

Can't argue with the supporting actor/actress favourites though both JK Simmons and Patricia Arquette were the best things within their respective films.

I don't know how much chance it has got but I have a small bet on Nightcrawler for Best Original Screenplay 66/1. I loved the film and it deserves an Oscar.


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Head Admin
BarryCarter
Joined: 13.01.2011

Gone Girl and Nightcrawler were both awesome.


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JimC6
Joined: 01.04.2011

All the favourites won :( I was hoping at least one long shot would come in.


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