Originally posted by Salivanth
1) Well, as a nit, I'd see him set-mining, and not much else. Given that he called, not raised, I'd probably give him a range of 22 - TT, and AQ. As he's a nit, I imagine he 3-bets only JJ+, AK.
Then his aggression is 35, which is 2.8%. This fits with betting top pair+, and folding pocket pairs if he didn't hit his set. As he's re-raising, I put him on QQ+ here, and I fold.
Yeap, when he raises he has two pair+ pretty much always just because he has very few marginal hands in his range and he tends to play his good, but no great hands and draws passively. He won't raise KQ etc., so it's pretty easy bet/fold.
Originally posted by Salivanth
2) Presumably these are the stats of a fish. I have no idea how he'd call, but we'll presume that someone that reckless has basically no positional awareness. He's probably calling with a very wide range.
I could try and work out his whole range, but suffice it to say that 10% - 30% is approximate. He'd probably 3-bet the top 10%. He has a huge aggression rating, so we can assume he'd re-raise QJ/QT. He could also have 44/77, and he could be re-raising as a bluff with a bunch of worse hands. Call, and be okay to stack off.
You described him as they are - they don't care, they just play their pokaaaah, so we can deffo play further because he can raise draws/TPGK/bluffs etc. and his range is much wider that our previous nit. Yes, he will show up w/ 44/77 time after time, but that doesn't matter as he will show up w/ some kind of crap even more.
Originally posted by Salivanth
3) This looks like a TAGgy range, which is what I play, so I can put him on a similar range to my own. I call with 22-99 for set mining, and might also call with AJ and AQ. Other hands I would likely 3-bet or fold. If I were to re-raise here, I would probably have a set, so I would fold here.
You described actions to more nitty TAG. Not wrong, but there's other side of it. These stats usually show pretty balanced range - that means he can not only raise with his monster hands, but also make some semibluffs or even pure bluffs on good boards. He can call with 22-99 for set mining, but that doesn't mean he will just ch/f every single flop without hitting a set. He can have some suited connectors (more when he's in position and multi-way) and stuff he can semi-bluff with. So that means if he noticed we are folding a lot, he can use that in his advantage. If he thinks our range didn't hit - he can raise as bluff or semi-bluff. He can raise with monsters aswell obviously - and we can't always 100% know what he has. To make decisions we have to keep in mind his stats, notes, positions, image (good TAG's are one of the rare players that are influenced by image, but don't overrate it) etc.
What I wanted to say - there are players we know how to play against, but there's always some part of close decisions we have to make.
In this particular hand - bet/fold is reasonable as we were raising from MP1 and it's not like BTNvsBB and he's playing more on tight side, so he probably has more value hands than bluffs. Nonetheless - every read is priceless here - reads are things that can make our decision much easier and make us much more money.