[NL2-NL10] NL2 set on a draw heavy board

    • animagne
      Joined: 20.05.2010 Posts: 12
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.67)
      Hero ($2.13)
      UTG ($2)
      UTG+1 ($1.21)
      CO ($1.81)
      BTN ($2.65)

      Dealt to Hero 3:heart: 3:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.06, fold, SB calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.04

      FLOP ($0.18) K:heart: 3:club: 5:heart:

      SB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $0.74, CO folds, SB calls $0.44

      TURN ($1.66) K:heart: 3:club: 5:heart: 9:heart:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($1.66) K:heart: 3:club: 5:heart: 9:heart: 6:club:

      SB bets $0.87 (AI), Hero calls ??

      Villain was 13/4 over 24 hands. I didn't really want to shove the turn, as I thought, that it would violate the main betting rule (not enough weaker hands would call, maybe A:heart: X, or maybe two pair, if he really is tight, and I don't see him folding sets/flushes), risking that he might actually backdoor flush with 1 :heart: .

      SB shows 6:spade: K:spade:
      (Pre 49%, Flop 4.9%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero shows 3:heart: 3:diamond:
      (Pre 51%, Flop 95.1%, Turn 100.0%)

      Hero wins $3.24
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello animagne,

      Flop: Against his stack I'd just ship it right on flop. We will be pretty much committed anyways and our raise is almost 1/2 of his stack. Plus obviously it's very likely that the guys wants to go broke with his overbet.

      As played
      Turn: I'd just ship the turn, doubt that he is overbetting that often with draws on flop.

      As played
      River: Call it. :) For the given reason before.

      Best regards.