[NL2-NL10] A9o battle of the blinds

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $4.04
      BB (Hero):
      $3.57
      UTG2:
      $1.15
      MP1:
      $5.37
      MP2:
      $1.90
      MP3:
      $4.04
      CO:
      $0.77
      BU:
      $2.28


      Preflop: Hero is BB with A, 9.
      6 folds, SB raises to $0.07, Hero calls $0.05.

      Flop: ($0.14) 6, A, 3 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10.

      Turn: ($0.34) 8 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.23, Hero calls $0.23.

      River: ($0.8) 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25.

      Final Pot: $1.3.
      Results follow:

      SB shows a pair of aces(A K).
      Hero shows a pair of aces(A 9).

      SB wins with a pair of aces(A K).


      When I used your calculator I saw that I need 20,16% to break even(rakes included) but with the worst range scenario that looks liek this:

      Board: 6:club: A:heart: 3:club:  8:heart:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    79.12%  75.82%   3.30% { AA, 88, 66, 44-33, A3s+, A3o+ }
      UTG+1  20.88%  17.58%   3.30% { A9o }

      I still make a small profit in the long run, am I right. Please correct me. For me on the river it looked like a nice value bet and I was questioning myself what I do really beat. So at this point I felt I m behind but I called because of the odds and because he was unknown and I gained some information. SO please could comment this play.
  • 2 replies
    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 563
      Originally posted by Sikac
      So at this point I felt I m behind but I called because of the odds and because he was unknown and I gained some information. SO please could comment this play.
      Don't think paying for information is such a good idea, why pay when you could get them for free - just observe how he play against another players. IMO that kind of attitude could lead you easily to false justification just like upswing/downswing.

      You got the wrong range, it's not the worst scenario. It probably looks more like this:

      Board: 6:club: A:heart: 3:club:  8:heart:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     95.65%  91.30%   4.35% { AA, 88, 66, 44-33, A8s+, A3s, 86s, Ah7h, Ac7c, Ah6h, Ac6c, Ah5h, Ac5c, Ac4c, A8o+, A6o, A3o }
      BB      4.35%   0.00%   4.35% { Ac9s }
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      While there ain't gonna be many worse Ax hands and the only hope is him to have some kind of draw I might just fold it right on turn to avoid the hero-call on the river. Where we most likely wont be ahead anymore. It's not only about the river calculation but as well investing overall into the pot, what kind of hands do we expect him to play this way. And most likely he ain't gonna 3barrel here anyways without having a hand.

      Best Regards.