villain 171 hands/ 27/20/14,5 3bet/ 33 cbet (at the time we played only 2 orbits so he was pretty much unknown but seemed loose with his frequent preflop 3betting)
Looking back I see I was lost in this hand.
Flop is very dry and I don't think he raises QJ. He might do it with AT, A9, sets or some overcards (if we think he's loose unknown). I would rather give him strong range.
I don't want to go broke on this flop since we're deep. When he checks on turn I decide to bet again because he might have Tx hands or will fold his air. I decide to bet small because if he raises me again I think we have to fold it. Also we don't have to protect from anything (other than OESD or GS) and since we have JJ we have blockers. If he c/r 3x we fold against unknown?
River check seemed very weak to me. I'm almost sure he doesn't have set (FH now) but I suspect some Tx. River is really nice because even if he had T9 we're ahead. Having in mind all that I saw he won't call my shove with some weak to medium T so I bet smallish so he calls me (it's ugly to leave his last $4 but I was thinking shoving almost pot size bet is quite strong).
Grabbed by
Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($13.52)
BB ($9.72)
UTG ($12.30)
UTG+1 ($11.23)
CO ($17.54)
Hero ($19.03)
Dealt to Hero J

J
fold, fold, fold,
Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20
FLOP ($0.90) 9

T

2
SB checks, BB checks,
Hero bets $0.65, SB raises to $2.20, BB folds,
Hero calls $1.55
TURN ($5.30) 9

T

2

5
SB checks, Hero bets $2.40, SB calls $2.40
RIVER ($10.10) 9

T

2

5

5
SB checks, Hero bets $3.80, SB calls $3.80
Hero shows J

J
(Pre 71%, Flop 80.2%, Turn 88.6%)
SB shows T

K
(Pre 29%, Flop 19.8%, Turn 11.4%)
Hero wins $16.52