NL100 - KQ bam-bam-bam

Generally I'd just check this flop because it hits most of his callingrange pre.
However, given we have a read that he c/calls flops and subsequently folds turns, I like bet flop with the plan of 2ndbarreling a lot - we have a lot of foldequity + 2overs and a GS (i.e. potequity).

Additional to that the A is the perfect card to barrel.

However on the river it's close.
The only hands he can possibly fold are JTs, QJs and KJs - a total of 9 combinations.
He will fold busted FDs too, but we're ahead of them.
Since he'd probably c/c AT+ on the flop there are up to 39 combinations of hands in his range he's likely to call, therefore the river is a check, his range is too strong to barrel (especially since we assume he folds the turn a lot).

Originally posted by Bierbaer
Generally I'd just check this flop because it hits most of his callingrange pre.
However, given we have a read that he c/calls flops and subsequently folds turns, I like bet flop with the plan of 2ndbarreling a lot - we have a lot of foldequity + 2overs and a GS (i.e. potequity).

Additional to that the A is the perfect card to barrel.

However on the river it's close.
The only hands he can possibly fold are JTs, QJs and KJs - a total of 9 combinations.
He will fold busted FDs too, but we're ahead of them.
Since he'd probably c/c AT+ on the flop there are up to 39 combinations of hands in his range he's likely to call, therefore the river is a check, his range is too strong to barrel (especially since we assume he folds the turn a lot).

Why aren't the offsuit versions of those hands still in his range?

I assumed he's less likely to call those preflop vs the 3bet, but now that I look at it you're right, there might be some of the combos in his range.