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River vs TAG

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Preflop: Hero is BB with T:s, Q:h.
2 folds, BU raises, SB folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (4.4 SB) 7:c, Q:s, 4:d (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero raises, BU calls.

Turn: (4.2 BB) K:s (2 players)
Hero bets, BU raises, Hero calls.

River: (8.2 BB) A:h (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero ?

24\17\1.4\40


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Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

Huh though one...but Im folding...looking at his stats he seems reasonable/straighforward/TAG and I dont see bluffs in his range which he would b/ flop and raise turn(even JT has youbeat),maybe some very rare FDs,like 9sTs. More important is his valuerange...you might be beating something there( like Qx with worse kicker and BU has a decent amount of worse Qx)...but now his stats are very handy...I assume player like him has a very reduced amount of Qx on this turn(at least some of his worse ones) And then this river comes(which is pretty blanky consdering your range) but still player like him will still be afraid of it quite often)...at least with all Qx where kicker doesnt play....on the other hand he has huge amount of Kx+ hands which I assume are betting close to 100%(well maybe 80%)

Equity Win Tie
MP3 6.67% 5.71% 0.95% QhTs
CO 93.33% 92.38% 0.95% QQ+, 77, 44, AQs+, K7s+, K4s, Q7s+, Q4s, JTs, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s, 6s5s, AQo+, K7o+

Its very rough but looks about right to me...you are getting 1:9 on the river needing around 11% ,so vs unknown Im calling but vs guy I know and seems like what Ive just told you Im preffer fold


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