Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($55.93)
BB ($100)
Hero ($109)
UTG+1 ($105)
CO ($101)
BTN ($137)
Dealt to Hero A♦ 4♦
Hero raises to $3.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $2.50
FLOP ($7.50) 2♦ 7♠ 7♣
BB checks, Hero bets $5, BB calls $5
TURN ($17.50) 2♦ 7♠ 7♣ T♣
BB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($17.50) 2♦ 7♠ 7♣ T♣ A♠
BB checks, Hero bets $11, BB raises to $30 Hero?
villain: 21/17/2/25 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS) - 2.6k hands.
31% river ag freq (probably slightly lower since these stats are after I played this hand and another one I am about to post)
Fold?
I just cant see how this raise could ever be a bluff, yet there are once again very few valuehands he could do this with. Facing a UTGraise he shouldn't be doing this play with any ace but AK, unless he knows that I raise a lot of weaker aces from UTG he could ofc do it lighter, but I don't think he does.
Then there are probably some pocketpairs in his range, but I don't see why he would turn them into a bluff here as this is a card I will bet as a bluff a lot, but I dunno. Slowplayed FHs,quads are ofc in his range as well but obv a very limited amount of combos.
I ended up calling anyway and guess what he had? 
