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Should I 3-barrel bluff a fish?

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Hey guys,

Today we will take a hand posted by Alleen86 and open up a key discussion: what should our thought process be when playing a hand like this? In other words, what questions should we ask ourselves and what information should we look at when running big bluffs.

Here's the hand:

Originally posted by Alleen86
Hello!

IPoker, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $9 (180 bb)
BB: $3.22 (64.4 bb)
UTG: $1.94 (38.8 bb)
MP: $4.06 (81.2 bb)
CO: $5.54 (110.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $6.12 (122.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K 2
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.10, SB folds, BB calls $0.05

Flop: ($0.22) J 9 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.15, BB calls $0.15

Turn: ($0.52) 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB calls $0.30

River: ($1.12) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, BB raises to $2.67, Hero folds

Preflop: Standard.

Flop: Hit BDFD and BDSD + an overpair, so I think cbetting is standard.

Turn: Hit my FD, so decided to 2barrel.

River: Since the card is so dangerous, and I think he would sometimes donk with a straightdraw, I decided to 3barrel and take him off TP or two pairs. Too optimistic against a fish?

BB: 50/0/6 (VPIP/PFR/H)

Let's look at some things that we should consider before running big bluffs vs most weaker opponents:

What type of opponent do I play against? Are they more prone to calling or folding?
What range does my opponent have (on each street)?
How does this card affect my opponent's range?
What bet size should I be using?
What do I represent (not important vs weak opponents)?

What do we know in this hand?

Let's start with:

Preflop:

Villain is most likely a recreational player (fish) due to stack size and (albeit small) hand sample.
Villain's range is very wide because we min raise preflop and he calls in the BB.

Flop:

The board is somewhat wet and connects with a lot of hands (lower fold equity).
We have a backdoor flush/straight and an overcard (low equity). A lot of the cards that improve our equity also help him out.

Those two items combined (low FE + low HE) make for a bad/expensive spot to run big bluffs in.

Turn:

This card does not change much.
This card helps part of villains weaker range (7x, 6x type hands) while not affecting (negatively) the better part of his range.

River:

This card improves a vast majority of his range.
He now has a lot of two pair+.
He may have a hard time folding even one pair type hands.

Conclusion:

When looking to run big bluffs (or even smaller ones) look at all the information that you have available. The player type, board texture, etc. are all important in making a decision. We cannot simply bet because we want to win the pot. We have to bet because it makes sense and we expect the result to be in our favor.

Homework:

Input villains river range into equilab.
Input your hand into equilab.
Input the board texture.
Look at his range distribution.
Can he fold at least 42% of the time (in other words, can he fold 42% of combos)? In reality you actually have to account for rake as well so that 42% is more like 45-47%.


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16 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Nice analysis, but it doesn't answer the general question:
Should I 3-barrel bluff a fish?
Under the usual definition of a fish, the answer is yes. The reason being that they come into the river with a much weaker range than a tight player and accordingly have to fold out of proportion (unless they hate money) on the river. Two-barreling fish is, for the same reason, in general awful. Of course, details depend on the board and the fish, but in generality, YES, fish should be 3-barreled.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Fish will always look for the slightest reason to call you down. That is why it is a fish. It is possible to call you with amazing ang colourful hands... :)


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

If this is the type of fish that won't fold, you need a showdown hand.
If this is the type of fish that folds easily, by all means show strength all the way.

This an example of a fish that does not fold easily:

Spoiler

and one that will:

Spoiler

Sorry, I couldn't resist that...:coolface:
VS


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gadget51
Joined: 23.06.2008

Why would I 3-barrel a fish that folds easily? Makes no sense to me.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

terrible spot. he has a reasonable number of straights, and from the hands that aren't straights, fish pretty much never consider folding 2p+ in this spot and i wouldn't be very optimistic about making Jx fold either


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by gadget51
Why would I 3-barrel a fish that folds easily? Makes no sense to me.

If your fish hates to fold flop, hates to fold turn, but doesn't hate his money enough to call river with bottom pair, the 3-barreling makes plenty of sense. You win much more when he eventually folds than from a reg that makes a marginal fold on the flop. Barreling one or twice versus this kind of fish makes, on the other hand, no sense since there is no fold equity whatsoever.

But I reiterate that the example ITT is not a 3-barrel. I am checking back already on the flop, regardless of fish type here.


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gadget51
Joined: 23.06.2008

I agree with that, it's a nasty board to try anything, just chk/f for me.


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wg123
Joined: 05.05.2014

I would ask another question connected with this subject: Should we 3barrel bluff with pure air or should we instead look for spots to semi-bluff (FD,GS,OESD, or overcards at least) ?


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi, wg123,
When bluffing it always helps to have some backdoor draws or overcards, or even some weak showdown value like second pair.

Before bluffing you need to know what your goal is.
There are two possible reasons to bluff:
:diamond:  1: Get better hands to fold and steal the pot.
:diamond:  2: Look like an idiot so people will pay you off on future hands.

If your goal is #1, then you need to pick an opponent who will fold better hands than what you hold. If they won't fold, you cannot possibly bluff them.

Which leaves #2. If they won't fold, and you bluff, then when they call people see that you bluffed, and may pay you off later. But we're talking about 3 barrels. If you bluff on flop and turn, and they won't fold the river, just show it down. It accomplishes the same thing, and you lose less. (assuming you lose).

A lot of times people think that they're being so clever bluffing an opponent off the pot, when the opponent had squat anyway.

Peace,
VS


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wg123
Joined: 05.05.2014

Thanks for your answer Vorpal.

It's interesting what you wrote in point 2. That might be true in some circumstances but I don't think it will give you much value especially on microstakes. If you play against some regular player, he has some sample on you which tells him more about your play than one showdown.

Point 1 is more interesting because that was my question which still hasn't been answered actually. Part of the value from semi-bluff comes from folds of our villains and another part comes from the fact when we hit our outs. It gives us usually a good reason to 3barelling. On the other hand if we bet flop and turn and we know on both streets that the only way we can win the pot is making our villain fold his hand it's much more risky and much less profitable.

When bluffing it always helps to have some backdoor draws or overcards

Yes, that's right. But should we completely avoid making pure air bluffs or just limit them or maybe they should be done as often as semi-bluffs?

* I wouldn't agree with you that "second pair" is a good hand to barrel. We don't have big folding equity on better hands and we should in my opinion try to control the pot and get to showdown as cheaply as possible.


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msnek
Joined: 01.10.2008

I think having cards, which are connected with he board (while still no made hand), are better for bluffing not only cause of higher equity,but also cause of blockers ? Like two spades on the board (turn) and one spade in our hand ? So we block many suited combos for our opponents ?


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KimberlyMetcal
Joined: 14.08.2020

Yep, u should


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Pakichu777
Joined: 14.06.2011

i love how nowadays: K3ss on j98sxx is backdoor flushdraw and backdoor straigthdraw... it used to be called "i missed the flop" :)

i think we can opt to not cbet this hand, as it hits his range quite well but i prefer 3 barreling as its a highly dynamic board and we have position

when we 3 barrel -> we want opponents range to be as weak as possible on the river, for that reason i'd go smaller on the flop, turn size is fine, river is super bad card -> many 2 pairs and straights and they wont fold SO we bet small to get Q9, Q8, A9 and 8x with spades to fold! (improving our winrate by risking less)


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

A 5-year-old thread rises from the dead.
I wonder how that happened?


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