[NL2-NL10] AJ otb

    • utenosmelynas
      Joined: 07.03.2009 Posts: 286
      So opponent is 30/21, agg 1.9, donk bet 22%(9) 182hands.
      He took a strange line, what advices against this play? =)

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with J, A.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, SB calls $0.30, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.8) J, 4, 6 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.20, SB raises to $2.10, Hero calls $0.90.

      Turn: ($5) 2 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.90, Hero calls $1.90.

      River: ($8.8) Q (2 players)
      SB bets $2.80, Hero calls $2.80.

      Final Pot: $14.4.
  • 2 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Without more specific reads it's really hard to say.

      We can't really totally discount him playing a worse Jx this way and he's betting small overall, but then again he suckbet/min3bet the flop so overall he's just the type to bet small with whatever he took that line with, meaning we actually don't get any information from his turn bet. He's just betting again with what he thought was worthy of a flop suckbet/min3bet, whatever that is.

      The river is a bit different since it's an overcard to the Jx, which would make most players way less likely to bet a third time with just Jx even if they happened to overplay it before. Still we're getting like 4:1 so if there is any chance he still has Jx we can't fold.

      So this is a really dicey, high variance spot that hinges on a massively committing judgment call on the flop: either you think he can take that line with Jx or you don't. If you do, call down, if you don't, just fold the flop or call the flop just in case planning to fold to a turn bet unimproved.

      Hope it helps.
    • yeahyoung0312
      Joined: 16.12.2009 Posts: 340
      If you have seen him value betting smallish in previous hands then you should just call 3 barrels without raising any street.

      1/3 pot is some plrs' value bet amount and although annoying it is, it is a losing strategy in the long run so there is no need to counter it.

      As played I would fold to the flop 3bet to avoid future tough decisions.