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[Closed] Desperation Q9o call

5 Posts
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Trbst
Joined: 26.09.2007

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 200/400 Blinds (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button (t2160)
SB (t3175)
Hero (BB) (t2020)
UTG (t5185)
MP (t960)

Hero's M: 3.37

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, 9
2 folds, Button bets t2135, 1 fold, Hero calls t1595

Flop: (t4190) 6, 5, Q (2 players)

Turn: (t4190) A (2 players)

River: (t4190) 2 (2 players)

Total pot: t4190


4 replies
zamoda
Joined: 16.03.2009

I would call SB push with this hand, but not BU. BU should be pretty tight in this spot.


You are tied for 3rd place, so you have to be somewhat risk-averse although it is not the bubble yet. Although you are getting about 5:3 odds, you need about 46% equity against the button's range to call.

Fold: 1595 chips, 0.1413, SD: $15.7
Win: 4315 chips, 0.306
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 2157.5 chips, 0.1806

Equity needed: 46.18%
Chip odds: 36.96%
Risk premium: 9.21%

You would have that much equity (and more, 55%) if the button were on ATC, but against one 38% pushing range Q9o only has 41% equity. I think this is a fold.


viewer88
Joined: 19.04.2008

Gotta loze pzhon's math skills :)
Can you calculate the callrange aswell?

I think we're too deep to make desperation calls, vs some aggressive regulars this call can't be terrible though.


Originally posted by viewer88
Can you calculate the callrange aswell?.

depends on villain's push range obviously. so no. we can only estimate.

unknowns are 25-30% here so this is a fold.

its a great spot for the BTN to shove wide though (because the SB/BB are quite risk-averse with stack set-up), so I would call a good reg.