BU had 40% steal (72 hands). 3bet 1000 instead? call?
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$80/$160 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]MP3$2688.00:///////;CO$2921.00:///////;BU$2840.00:///////;SB$1850.00:///////;BB (Hero)$2535.00:///////;MP2$666.00:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BB with T:s, A:d.
3 folds, BU raises to $400.00, SB folds, Hero raises to $2,535.00, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $480.
3bet to 1k. No
call. No
resteal yes
It of course depends really much on the opponent.. you have 72 hands on him.. how many hands do you have on him where he could steal??
these might be like ~15 r some?
Just to make some general unknown up here based loosely on your stats
He'll steal with 25% here and call a re steal with top 5%. That means he'll go broke 20% of the time after raising. (5/25)
Against that 5% range we have 28% equity with ATo...
When insterting these numbers into ICM explorer we'll get:
Effective bet size: 2135 on top of calling 240.
Probability of winning when called: 0,28
Probability of getting called: 0,2
Give up: 2375 chips, 0,1788, SD:$16,98
Successful steal: 3015 chips, 0,2145
Failed bluff, lose: 0 chips, 0
Failed bluff, win: 5150 chips, 0,3151
Ties count as 60,4% of a win.
Failed bluff, average: 0,0882
Semibluff, average: 0,1892, SD: $17,45
Net gain from semibluff: 1,04%Calls allowed at 0,28 equity: 28,25%
Equity needed at 80% folds: 0,1147
This indicates that if he's only going broke with top 5% we can shove ATo if he's opening 18% or looser here
And if he's only going broke here 20% of the time we can profitably shove ATC
So nice hand well played probably...
And since your using stats you should probably post VPIP/PRF stats for the opponent as well.. since this gives us the general idea about the opponent and then we get deeper information about them from the other stats ( at least this is my approach to stats )
