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[Closed] semi-bluff

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Villain is playing 23/12/4.5 with WTSD of 15 over small sample (120 hands)

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$9.82:///////;MP2$5.00:///////;MP3 (Hero)$8.15:///////;CO$12.19:///////;BU$5.22:///////;SB$5.09:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A:h, Q:s.
MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, CO folds, BU calls $0.15, 2 folds, BB folds.

Flop: ($0.37) 2:h, 8:h, 5:s (2 players)
Hero bets $0.20, BU calls $0.20.

Turn: ($0.77) J:h (2 players)
Hero bets $0.40, BU calls $0.40.

River: ($1.57) T:c (2 players)
Hero checks, BU checks.

Final Pot: $1.57.
Results follow:

BU shows a pair of sixs(6:c 6:d).
Hero shows high card ace(A:h Q:s).

BU wins with a pair of sixs(6:c 6:d).

I think my turn bet shows a profit in the long run as i put him on a middle pair/flush draw on the flop (i think with his aggression he could raise the FD here aswell though) so i bet the Turn smallish to find an easy muck if raised. I pick up my redraw plus give myselfouts with any A or Q on the river if he just has the pair. Plus i think i get decent FE with the face card hitting. But thats just my opinion - thoughts?


2 replies

I think your bet sizing is weak, bet strong (2/3-3/4 pot) or don't bet at all and just check/fold your hand to missed board with multi draws, although if your opponent has high cbet fold % i would still try to cbet this board.


veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008
BlackMember

Hello musabasjoo,

If he is somehow reasonable sometimes I even take a 3rd barrel here to make fold hands like smaller PPs and maybe even a pair of 8. But for that we need to know more that the opponent is capable of folding such hands. In this situation I think should be able. But as played the 2nd barrel is totally fine, as you mentioned for the given reason already, we get a lot extra equity with that card.

Best regards.


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