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[Closed] nl100 Rush A8s

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($100)
BB ($101)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($136)
CO ($242)
Hero ($100)

Dealt to Hero A♠ 8♠

fold, UTG+1 raises to $3, CO calls $3, Hero calls $3, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2

FLOP ($15) K♠ 7♥ 8♣

SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $4, SB folds, BB raises to $11, UTG+1 folds, CO folds, Hero calls $7

TURN ($37) K♠ 7♥ 8♣ 4♠

BB bets $25, Hero raises to $86 (AI), BB folds

Hero shows A♠ 8♠

Hero wins $84

pfr is 16/14, 600 hands. Cbet 30%.
bb is unk: 22/17, 92 hands

So I dont like my flop betsize. I should either ch/b and give up or bet $10 for value. As it is I encourage getting played back at.

Put villains range at KJ/KQ, 56s, 9Ts, 78s, 77 and some random air.

I think calling the ch/R is kind of bad too - dont have a plan if villain keeps betting.

I turn a flush draw and decided there was enough weak hands in villains range to just shove over the top. Not sure about this. Against Kx we have 14 outs and since we can have 56 ourselves i think he is hard pressed to call.

He tanked for ages, then folded. Not sure about my assumptions or if i just got lucky.


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

As we discussed in Skype: Imo bet/fold bigger on the flop. Vs the preflopraised I'd even consider bet/calling, but against BB we're mostly crushed.

As played on the turn unless we know he could show up with KQ type hands AND is able to fold those we should just call for odds&outs.
The question is if he can even have many Kx here, I assume he would squeeze some of those, but as you said he might be too afraid to do it.

I think once he gets to the turn with some KQ+ type hand, he is somewhat likely to just bet/call the shove, therefore I'd just call vs his bet.