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[Closed] Nl 100 Aj

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Poker Stars $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1215685
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $130.35
SB: $100.50
BB: $89.50
UTG: $103.75
Hero (CO): $281.55

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with A :diamond: J :heart:
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.00) 6 :club: K :heart: Q :diamond: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.75, SB calls $4.25

Turn: ($15.50) A :club: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($15.50) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
SB bets $12.00, Hero calls $12

Villan is 22/13 with 67% fold to contibet, aggr. factor 5,7 with inf on turn and 5 on river. 130 hands.
He floated me one time when he had position and the flop was very similar to this one that time, sth like KQx rainbow, turn blank and I c/f ed that time.
Am I ahead 44% of time? Maybe villan with such aggression bets Kx on river?


3 replies
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Since you played it this way, you prolly have to call on river imo. You didnt bet turn for value in order to pot/contrl and induce from worse so river = call. He can even vbet AT/A9s here.

If you bet turn for value vs Qx/Kx and get called then (say villain donks out on river) we can fold the river comfortably. Also we can fold to turn ch/R.


Purity
Joined: 28.01.2008

I prolly would just bet turn again to make poker simple. You would most likely fire this turn with your air range aswel so betting AJ for value here wil get paid off by Kx most of the times and Qx aswel.

Also alot of opponents aren't capable of folding KJ,KT and QJ,QT here because they have pair+gutshot+we might be bluffing.

He might have K :club:x :club: or Q :club:x :club: that call turn aswel.

So in order to sometimes balance our range, get calls from weaker hands and sometimes protect our hand I think betting turn is the best option.

As played I don't think our opponent puts us on a Ax hand but at the same time I don't think he's value-betting weaker hands.
=> I would call just too see what hands he calls out of position on the SB vs CU + we might have the best hand.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Vs regs I'd bet the turn.
There's not much of a point on checking back because we won't get any more value against weaker hands, so I'd like to take it down right away and get him off his equityshare even if he has a weak draw.

Also we should think about balancing - if he sees us checking the turn with AJ he can call down a lot lighter (f.e. he can then easily call KJ) vs future 2ndbarrels because we have a polarized range (usually with more bluffs than valuehands).

As played I'd fold the river. He'd have to be on a pure bluff (he's not betting any worse hands for value) and since he c/called the flop he should not have air in his range, so we're beat close to 100% of the time.

There's no reason for him to bet Kx on the river other than turning it into a bluff vs Ax - since he can't expect Ax to fold I don't think he does that.


Sorry for the long delay with the hand evaluations, I'm on vacation right now and had a tough fight for internet. It seems to be working now, so hopefully there won't be any more delays.

Phil