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[Closed] resteal KJs SB vs CO NL200

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supeyrio
Joined: 11.11.2009

villian plays 19/17/5.1 steals CO 29% of the time and fold to resteal 75% of the time.
obv think my play is quite bad once again. so in love with tp in 3bet pot.
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
Hero ($236)
BB ($98)
UTG ($274)
UTG+1 ($205)
UTG+2 ($78)
MP1 ($205)
CO ($203)
BTN ($162)

Dealt to Hero K♥ J♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $5, fold, Hero raises to $18, fold, CO calls $13

FLOP ($38) 6♠ 9♥ J♦

Hero bets $19.05, CO calls $19.05

TURN ($76.10) 6♠ 9♥ J♦ 8♦

Hero checks, CO bets $49, Hero raises to $199 (AI), CO calls $117 (AI)

RIVER ($409) 6♠ 9♥ J♦ 8♦ Q♦


3 replies

i probally bet the turn myself and either bet/fold or bet/call (i am not sure which is better).


ttjjboy
Joined: 31.05.2009

mostly we put him on 88 99 TT and AJs AQ KJs KQ

I'd bet turn and check fold river

I can't find a hand that we can beat

there'r 88 99 AJ in his range,I prefer not to check raise turn as we can't make these hands fold


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Since he folds 75% of a 29% range, he has about a 7% range left:
{77+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AQo+}

His callingrange on the flop probably looks something like this:
{99+,AJs+,KJs+,QJs,AQo+}

Against this range we have decent equity on the turn:

Board: J♦9♥6♠ 8♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    44.43%  42.82%   1.61% { 99+, AJs+, KJs+, QJs, AQo+ }
MP3    55.57%  53.96%   1.61% { KhJh }

Even if he folds AQ:

Board: J♦9♥6♠ 8♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    51.58%  49.41%   2.17% { 99+, AKs, AJs, KJs+, QJs, AKo }
MP3    48.42%  46.25%   2.17% { KhJh }

So b/f is an option.

However, if we assume he's (re)raising QQ+ either preflop or on the flop, then check/shoving is definitely worth a consideration. He can b/f AK and AQ, and even vs a somewhat strong range we have quite a lot of equity:

Board: J♦9♥6♠ 8♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    53.41%  47.16%   6.25% { JJ-99, AJs, KJs, QJs }
MP3    46.59%  40.34%   6.25% { KhJh }

So imo your line is fine, too.


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