Hey!
Simple hand but seems need a bit help
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Known players:
[tg]BB$8.39:///////;MP3$4.26:///////;CO$6.70:///////;BU$3.20:///////;SB (Hero)$7.75:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q:c, Q:h.
MP3 folds, CO raises to $0.10, BU calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, BB folds, CO calls $0.35, BU folds.
Flop: ($1.04) 8:c, 7:d, 8:h (2 players)
Hero bets $0.55, CO raises to $1.48, Hero folds, CO gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $1.59.
Opp 30/25/ AF 6 , his fold to 3bet 0(out of 8 times),4bet range 6(out of 8times),raise flop 22% (9), fold to cb 56% ,aggr fq on flop 67%,on turn 38%, total 400 hands,that day he played 12 tables.This raising size is usual for him.
At that time I had gut feeling that I'm beat (slowplayed AA,KK or trips) and didn't want to just call and fold on turn to aggro,so was 2 options left push or fold.
His range can be overpairs,full house or Q,trips,semibluffs oesd,few bluffs like oc eg AK.
Board: 8c 7d 8h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.963% 54.23% 00.74% 36506 495.00 { AcAd, AcAh, AcAs, AdAh, AdAs, KcKd, KcKh, KcKs, KdKh, KdKs, QdQs, JJ-99, 8d8s, 7c7h, 7c7s, 7h7s, AKs, A8s, K8s, Q8s, J8s, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 65s, AdKh, AdKs, A8o, Th9d, Ts9d }
Hand 1: 45.037% 44.30% 00.74% 29824 495.00 { QcQh }
If I push then EV for me is +2.1$ (55bb),if he folds about 10% my EV also about 2.1$.So looks like have to push,??
What about call on flop,and he is aggressive ,then I can do too much bad fold? What if opp is usual tag with more narrow range?
Some uncertainty for me in this hand.
Thanks.