Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($5)
BB ($2)
Hero ($5.02)
UTG+1 ($3.96)
UTG+2 ($4.24)
MP1 ($7.42)
CO ($5)
BTN ($1.57)
Dealt to Hero 9♦ 9♠
Hero raises to $0.17, UTG+1 calls $0.17, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($0.41) J♠ 7♠ 9♣
Hero bets $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25
TURN ($0.91) J♠ 7♠ 9♣ 4♣
Hero bets $0.65, UTG+1 calls $0.65
RIVER ($2.21) J♠ 7♠ 9♣ 4♣ 5♣
Hero bets $1.30, UTG+1 raises to $2.89 (AI), Hero calls $1.59
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Villain goes all-in on the river - I didn't think it was likely that he beats me, so I called. A straight with T8 is not likely given his calls - and why would he play that hand anyway. The other thing that beats me is a backdoor flush draw completed on the river. His stats: 39/3 with AF 1.0. Given that, it is not likely that he is bluffing on the river... So what is the right answer here?
