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[Closed] overpair vs all-in on river

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Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Porneşte mâna

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP2$35.30:///////;MP3 (Hero)$227.10:///////;CO$47.10:///////;BU$100.00:///////;SB$149.50:///////;BB$120.15:///////;MP1$71.10:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K:c, K:s.
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, 3 folds, BB calls $2.00.

Flop: ($6.5) 2:c, 9:h, 3:d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4.30, BB raises to $12.00, Hero calls $7.70.

Turn: ($30.5) 5:d (2 players)
BB bets $21.00, Hero calls $21.00.

River: ($72.5) 6:s (2 players)
BB bets $84.15(All-In)

BB plays 20/14, 3bet BB 7%, c/r flop 15%, AF 2,1/1,9/1,5, WTS 31

on flop i expected c/r from him, i called cause all the worse hands would fold to a reraise. didnt expect him to have hands like QQ or JJ, he would have raise preflop most of the time.
on turn i expected a bet wich i called, but didnt expect the all-in on river, i supposed he would check the river. can i find a call there, vs overpot bet from 1,5 AF on river?


2 replies
ttjjboy
Joined: 31.05.2009
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Don't look at the AF! It doesn't tell you anything and will lead to superspew in spots like this.
When you have a read that he can checkraisebluff the flop and follow through on the turn but will give up the river, then vs his checkraise on the flop you should make the plan of call flop, call turn, fold river, and stick to it.

Generally however, I'd even consider to b/f the flop because once you call it's very obvious you have an overpair (due to your openingrange in MP3) and imo people are generally not bluffing much in spots like this.

Again: If you continue it should only be based on reads, and in this case you should base the plan for the entire hand on your reads, not on stats.
Bluffcatching on flop and turn is fine when you know the opponent can bluff there, but it is a massive leak if on the river you start searching the stats for a reason to call - you will usually find one ;).


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