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[Closed] views on this hand please jj

4 Posts
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noel50
Joined: 05.10.2009

Known Players:
[tg]Position_Stack: hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;UTG2_54367:///////;Hero_20325:///////;MP1_147363:///////;MP2_66244:///////;MP3_25095:///////;CO_44645:///////;BU_36935:///////;SB_34641:///////;BB_42070:///////;[/tg]
SnG-MTT $ 27.00 (3479 Players)
800/1600 No-Limit Hold'em, Ante 150 (9 Players)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102.40520.2 by www.pokerstrategy.com

Preflop: Hero is UTG3 with J :heart:, J :spade:
UTG2 folds,
Hero raises 3200 to 4800, 6 fold, BB calls

Flop: (11750) K :heart:, T :spade:, 8 :heart: (2 Players)
BB bets 37120 ( (AI)), Hero calls ( (AI)), BB gets uncalled bet back

Turn: (42500) 7 :club: (2 Players)

River: (42500) 4 :heart: (2 Players)

Final Pot: 42500

Results follow (Highlight to see):
Hero shows a pair of jacks (Jh, Js) --> (Jh, Js, Kh, Ts, 8h)
BB shows a pair of kings (Kd, Jc) --> (Kh, Kd, Ts, 8h, Jc)

BB wins 42500 with a pair of kings (Kd, Jc) --> (Kh, Kd, Ts, 8h, Jc)

Hero shows a pair of jacks (J ♥, J ♠) → (J ♥, J ♠, K ♥, T ♠, 8 ♥)
BB shows a pair of kings (K ♦, J ♣) → (K ♥, K ♦, T ♠, 8 ♥, J ♣)

BB wins 42500 with a pair of kings (K ♦, J ♣) → (K ♥, K ♦, T ♠, 8 ♥, J ♣)
put him on a draw was a loose player saw him raise in early position with ace x o twice was it a good move on his part to donk bet tx noel ps i was going to go all in would that have being correct


3 replies
vidrata
Joined: 08.10.2007

In my experience, when PPL donk over-bet shove flop ~ 1 x pot - 1.5x pot ; they either have top pair (mid -low kicker) or some strong draw (maybe combo draw) I suppose the logic, is that they will not have much FE if they shove over your Cbet and that the flop is likely to have missed your presumed range.

Therefore, I would fold Js if were in your spot. If you give him a range of:
ATs, A9s, A7s-A2s,QTs+,J9s+,97s,KJo,K9o,K7o-K4o you have a -EV call.

If he things you will level yourself into a light call, or you are a station, he will have more value than semi-bluffing hands and it gets very -EV.

Since, spots like that are very read dependent they tend to get very high variance, since you are way behind with mid pair or slight favorite if he has more semi bluffing hands.

Also worth mentioning, I am not a fan of you 3x pre at t1.6K, you have ~12.7BB, you are better of min raising. If you are not comfortable post flop with Js you can always push all in pre.

I hope this helps _grin:

And lastly, imo is better off not to post the showdown.


imo 2-2,5x pre
fold flop u need like ~35% EQ to break even and even vs his crazy loose range

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 29.454 % 29.111 % 0.687 % 70.202 % JsJh
Player 2: 70.546 % 70.202 % 0.687 % 29.111 % AA, QQ, TT, 88, AhKh, AhQh, AhTh, Ah9h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, K8s+, Kh7h, Kh6h, Kh5h, Kh4h, Kh3h, Kh2h, QTs+, J9s, T8s, 9s7s, 9h7h, KTo+, QJo

u dont have that eq


Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

yeah I'll agree. of course his shove makes not real sense in that spot. and i sometimes see completely misplayet hands like 10x, complete air or stuff. but generally if we give him a reasonable range you need to fold in that spot! and i raise smaller pre -> 3,3-3,5k is enough for me here. i don't want to blew a huge pot especially when i need to play often oop in that spot. you leave yourself much more options playing postflop.

greets