Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

[Closed] Fifty50 strategy

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
841 Views
Styr
Joined: 11.03.2009

I have been grinding Fifty50'es ($15 and $30) at Stars for quite some time now and was wondering about the calling ranges on, or close to the bubble.

Let's assume that a villain has the tendency to push any two cards from the SB, or a somewhat better range from any position. What should my calling ranges be?

Assuming:

1 - I am an below average stack with one or two more people having the same stack sizes as me, with six or seven players left.

2 - I am by far the bigstack and could easily lose two all-in's and still be able to continue in relative safety.

I am usually ahead at least by 60/40 against their ranges with any ace, and even lesser hands. But how does the payout structure affect the profitability of calling them? Is it worth to gain those extra chips, which convert directly into hard money [or not that hard, if dealing with $, (or € for that matter)], at the risk of losing the buy-in, as that part of the payout is not dependent of the amount of chips one holds when the sixth player busts.

Has anybody done the maths behind this? :) I'd really appreciate more insight to this topic. :)


2 replies

It is definitely worth it to take some risks to accumulate chips. Your risk-aversion should be much lower than in a double-or-nothing tournament.

To use the ICM, use prizes of 60%-10%-10%-10%-10%. This is implemented in the registered version of my program ICM Explorer and in SNG Wizard.

For example: 100/200/25, 7 players
BTN+4: 1500
BTN+3: 1500
HJ: 2000
CO: 2000
BTN: 2000
SB: 1500
BB: 4500

If the SB pushes, then you are hardly risk-averse at all as the big stack. According to the ICM, your risk premium is 2%:

Fold: 4275 chips, 0.235, SD: $23.19
Win: 6125 chips, 0.303
Lose: 3000 chips, 0.1841
Tie: 4562.5 chips, 0.2459

Equity needed: 42.79%
Chip odds: 40.8%
Risk premium: 1.99%

Nash equilibrium: SB pushes 51%, BB calls 42%


Styr
Joined: 11.03.2009

Thank you Pzhon. :) I will have a look.