Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$11,41:///////;MP3$10,34:58/21/7/2.8/20/0/100/100;[/tg]
0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is UTG2 with A♥, K♥
Hero raises to $0,40, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0,40, 4 folds.
Flop: ($0,95) 8♣, 6♠, 4♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $0,6, MP3 calls $0,60.
Turn: ($2,15) A♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $1,5, MP3 raises to $3,40, Hero calls $1,90.
River: ($8,95) J♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $2,5, Hero calls $2,50.
Final Pot: $13,95
This was a tough one. As you can see, villain is a bit on the looser side in 58hands. This is why I am not always giving him sets on the flop.
When he calls my Cbet and raises small on turn, I really fear I'm vs a set. But the turn is an A, so I'm thinking he could also have a weaker ace than me (AQ-AT), trying to protect maybe.
Vs sets we have 0% Equity
Vs sets and AQ-AT we have 51.61% Equity (we need 21,23%)
So the thing is are we only giving him sets in this situation and fold? Or could we also put him on an A and continue?
On the river I ch, hoping for a free showdown. We need only 17,92%eq to call. So I guess if we called turn (giving him an A), we should also call River
Opinions anyone?
Myself I'd just Bet/Fold it on turn and avoid the stupid Call which very likely come on river. 