Villain is tight 12/7 regular, but losing one (-3.25bb/100h over 16K hands). His fold to 3bet percentage is 63% and 4bet range 0.7%, so I decided to 3bet him. Since K was very much in my range I decided to Cbet, but when he called I chickened out... Please evaluate:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
BB ($24.46)
($21.41)
UTG ($35.78)
UTG+1 ($9.88)
UTG+2 ($24.26)
MP1 ($61.38)
MP2 ($23.01)
Hero ($26.19)
Dealt to ($6.87)
CO ($4.63)
BB posts (SB) $0.12
Dealt to Hero Q♣ A♠
fold, fold, fold, fold, MP2 raises to $0.71, Hero raises to $2.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $1.79
FLOP ($5.37) 9♥ Q♠ K♥
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.68, MP2 calls $2.68
TURN ($10.73) 9♥ Q♠ K♥ 3♣
MP2 checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($10.73) 9♥ Q♠ K♥ 3♣ 4♦
MP2 checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
MP2 shows J♣ J♥
(Pre 57%, Flop 27.9%, Turn 13.6%)
Hero shows Q♣ A♠
(Pre 43%, Flop 72.1%, Turn 86.4%)
Hero wins $10.23
