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[Closed] NL25 FR restealing with TT

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SilverSag
Joined: 12.07.2010

Not proud of this one at all...more like embarrassed... but we are learning here, right? lately I have been very succesfull restealing shorties with 2x their steal size. Only now I noticed that this one has 33% fold to resteal instead of their usual 75-80%, so I got myself into trouble. Whats the best line here? Just shove preflop? Please evaluate:

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
Hero ($25)
BB ($8.39)
UTG ($39.74)
UTG+1 ($26.23)
UTG+2 ($4.63)
MP1 ($13.93)
MP2 ($4.26)
CO ($4.51)
BTN ($5)

Dealt to Hero T♠ T♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, BTN calls $0.75

FLOP ($3.75) Q♠ 3♠ A♣

Hero bets $1.87, BTN raises to $3.25 (AI), Hero calls $1.38

Spoiler

TURN ($10.25) Q♠ 3♠ A♣ A♥

RIVER ($10.25) Q♠ 3♠ A♣ A♥ 9♣

BTN shows A♦ J♦
(Pre 45%, Flop 86.5%, Turn 95.5%)

Hero shows T♠ T♣
(Pre 55%, Flop 13.5%, Turn 4.5%)

BTN wins $9.75


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

If the small 3bet induces light calls then I like it.

However, on the flop there's not much sense in betting imo.
He's never ever folding Ax and even Qx probably just gets it in.
So I think it's a c/c-or-c/f spot and I lean towards c/folding since there are 2 overcards that hit his range.
With only 1 overard on the board I c/c to bluffinduce.