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[Closed] FR25 bad river card v straightforward reg.

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Millsyuk
Joined: 08.06.2009

Not sure why I dont have a full stack here. Fairly limited sample size on villain, I have been playing fairly laggy and 3betting a lot but don't think this guy is the type to pay much attention and seems like a standard abc passive player.

Villain stats:

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($24.75)
BB ($50.29)
UTG ($10)
UTG+1 ($26.10)
UTG+2 ($25)
MP1 ($10)
Hero ($22.95)
CO ($28.59)
BTN ($9.30)

Dealt to Hero K♥ J♥

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.75, fold, Hero raises to $2.25, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $5, Hero calls $2.75

FLOP ($10.35) J♦ 4♣ 8♦

UTG+2 bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50

TURN ($21.35) J♦ 4♣ 8♦ 2♠

UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

RIVER ($21.35) J♦ 4♣ 8♦ 2♠ A♣

UTG+2 bets $14.50 (AI), Hero folds

UTG+2 wins $20.31

Should I just be jamming this turn card after he checks?

If he had jammed this turn I would have folded but when he checks I pretty much put him on AK. If this is the case what is shoving or checking the best option?

Was planning on check calling down but on this river just dont see how I can be ahead of anything.

Thanks


1 reply

Flatting FR ip UTG 4-bet is likely not the best play, so I´d prefer just folding pf.
Even if river is blank would you really be ahead if he would shove there, but once you hit your tp hand you´re not fold so I´d prefer shoving turn for value.
He may call you down with TT or maybe he decided to 4-bet bluff with worse Jx hand.
I´d also fold river. Hard to see what hands woudl your beat now.