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[Closed] AA in tuogh spot

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IKSecret
Joined: 23.02.2009

opponent is unknow I had with him 14 hands 36/22 and AF 2, but I dont count on this at all... I play like with unknown.

BB ($99)
($140)
UTG ($104)
Hero ($95.63)
UTG+2 ($188)
CO ($125)

BB posts (SB) $0.50

Dealt to Hero A♦ A♥

fold, Hero raises to $2.87, fold, fold, BB calls $2.37, fold

FLOP ($6.74) 9♠ 3♥ Q♦

BB checks, Hero bets $5.05, BB calls $5.05

TURN ($16.84) 9♠ 3♥ Q♦ T♠

BB checks, Hero bets $12.63, BB raises to $30.26, Hero ?????

if I call turn what I have to do on river with blank card and some draw heavy card like J:s


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Since it's only 14 hands I definitely treat him as unknown reg, too.

To me this is an easy fold on the turn, c/c-c/r is usually superstrong.

Even in a best case scenario like the one below:

Board: Q♦9♠3♥ T♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    58.33%  56.82%   1.52% { 99+, QTs, JTs, T9s, KdJd, KhJh, KsJs }
MP3    41.67%  40.15%   1.52% { AdAh }

...we only have ~40% equity - and that is assuming he checkraises all combinations of JJ, JT and KK.

Also even though vs this range we have the equity to call the turnbet, on the river we'd have to fold to a shove (or at least an extremely difficult decision)- by calling we'd set us up for a riverspot where we're basically guessing and facing a decision for over half a stack.